The Atlanta Braves are going for their fourth consecutive victory as they play host to the Miami Marlins at SunTrust Park. The matchup will begin at 7:35 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox SportsNet Florida to catch the game.
Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves Odds
Atlanta (-180) is hosting this one as the favorite over Miami (+170) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). The game’s most recent runline odds stand at -130 for betting the Marlins +1.5 runs and +110 for the Braves -1.5.
The Braves are 66-51 straight up (SU) and 59-55 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 18.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 0.3 units (ATS). Atlanta has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Marlins are 48-73 SU and have gone 62-57 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 1.1 units for moneyline gamblers and 9.0 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Braves games have had an over/under record of 56-53-5 in 2018. The Marlins have an over/under record of 59-56-4.
Trevor Richards will get the start for the visiting Marlins. Richards is 3-7 with a 3.98 ERA and 85 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Braves this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Braves are putting the ball in the hands of righty Anibal Sanchez (6-3, 2.83 ERA), who’s got 84 strikeouts and 26 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.05. Sanchez did not record a start against the Marlins in 2017.
Atlanta’s pitchers have yielded 4.1 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The club’s starters have a 3.59 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.14 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 9.1 K/9. In 57 games against NL East foes, Braves starters have an ERA of 3.06 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.98.
The Atlanta offense has put up 4.9 runs per contest, including 5.2 per game against divisional foes and 7.0 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .315/.382/.548 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.
The Braves’ hitters have been led by right fielder Nick Markakis and first baseman Freddie Freeman. Markakis is slashing .325/.388/.507 with 14 home runs, 76 RBIs and 69 runs scored, and Freeman is hitting .319 with 19 homers, 74 RBIs and 73 runs.
For the visiting squad, Miami’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.59 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 7.73 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.11, along with a WHIP of 1.33 and a K/9 of 8.22.
The Marlins offense has slashed .240/.307/.358 on its way to 3.7 runs scored per game this season, including 3.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Miami’s hitters have been paced by second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson. Castro is slashing .281/.329/.396 with nine home runs, 43 RBIs and 65 runs scored, while Anderson is hitting .279/.359/.407 with nine homers, 53 RBIs and 64 runs scored.
The Marlins have gained 1.1 units and are 44-45 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over’s hit in 43 of those games, compared to 42 that’ve hit the under against ies.
Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
Click Here to Start Betting Today!
Notes
Betting Trends
The over has hit in four of Atlanta’s last seven games.
The Marlins have hit six home runs in their last 10 games. The Braves have hit 17 over their last 10.
Miami has averaged 14.8 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 outings and 15.4 over its last five.
The Marlins have lost six of their last seven games SU.
*****
