The Houston Astros will face off against their divisional foe Seattle Mariners at Safeco Field. ATTSN Southwest will televise the matchup and the game will get underway at 4:10 p.m. ET.
Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Seattle (+125) as the underdog to Houston (-135). Bettors are able to wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at +105 for over 8.5 runs and -125 for under 8.5. The game’s runline odds stand at +110 for taking the Astros -1.5 runs and -130 for the Mariners +1.5.
The Astros are 76-50 SU and have gone 62-63 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 14.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.4 units ATS. Houston has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. The Mariners, on the other hand, are 72-55 SU and 63-63 ATS. The team has gained 14.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 4.5 units ATS. Seattle has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.
Mariners games have an over/under record of 62-62-2 in 2018. Houston has been a decent under bet with a total record of 54-64-7.
Charlie Morton will get the nod for the visiting Astros. The right-handed Morton is 12-3 with a 2.78 ERA and 175 strikeouts. He’s 2-1 with 20 strikeouts and a 2.37 ERA against Seattle this year (three starts).
The Mariners will send lefty Marco Gonzales (12-8, 3.91 ERA) to the mound. Gonzales has 125 strikeouts and 28 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.23. Gonzales is 0-1 with eight strikeouts and a 5.79 ERA in one start against Houston this year.
Houston’s pitching staff allowed 3.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.09 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 10.39 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.10, along with a WHIP of 1.10.
Astros hitters have slashed .254/.329/.428 on their way to 4.9 runs scored per game this season, including 4.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Houston’s hitters have been paced by second baseman Jose Altuve and third baseman Alex Bregman, who’ve collectively launched 33 home runs. Altuve is slashing .327/.391/.461 with nine home runs, 46 RBIs, 64 runs and 14 steals, while Bregman is hitting .280 with 24 homers, 77 RBIs and 81 runs scored.
For the home team, Seattle’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.27 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.02 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.0 K/9. In 54 divisional games, Mariners starters have an ERA of 4.41 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.22.
Seattle’s hitters have put up 4.1 runs per contest, including 4.3 per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .235/.301/.329 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.
Shortstop Jean Segura and outfielder Mitch Haniger have paced the Mariners’ hitters this year. Segura is slashing .316/.344/.437 with nine home runs, 57 RBIs, 78 runs and 17 stolen bases, and Haniger’s line sits at .277/.364/.468 with 19 homers, 79 RBIs and 65 runs.
The Astros have lost 10.2 units and are 22-26 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 21 of those games, compared to 25 that’ve gone under against lefties. On the other hand, the Mariners have netted 18.6 units and are 42-42 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 45 of those games, compared to 38 that went under.
Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Astros, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Notes
Houston has tallied 14 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Seattle has 10 XBH over its last five.
Seattle has recorded 21.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.2 over its last five.
The Astros have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.
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