The Atlanta Braves will be squaring off against their NL East foe Miami Marlins at Marlins Park. The matchup will be televised nationally on Fox Sports One and the game gets underway 7:10 p.m. ET.
Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins Odds
Vegas has listed Miami (+150) as the underdog to Atlanta (-160). The total is sitting at 8 runs and bettors can take the over for -105 and the under for -115. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at Braves -1.5 runs (-110) and Marlins +1.5 runs (-110).
The Marlins are 66-63 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 52-78 straight up (SU). The team has lost 2.7 units for moneyline bettors and 11.3 units (ATS). The Braves have gone 72-56 SU this year and are 66-60 ATS. Overall, the team’s accumulated 21.4 units for moneyline bettors and 2.0 units ATS.
Marlins games have had an over/under record of 65-60-4 in 2018. The Braves have an over/under record of 59-62-5.
Right-hander Anibal Sanchez is the projected starter for the visiting Braves. Sanchez (6-4, 3.13 ERA) has recorded 98 strikeouts in 97.2 innings so far. He’s 0-0 with six strikeouts and a 7.20 ERA against Miami this year.
The Marlins are putting the ball in the left hand of Wei-Yin Chen (4-9, 5.20 ERA, 1.38 WHIP), who’s got 75 strikeouts and 38 walks. Chen is 1-1 with 10 strikeouts and a 5.51 ERA over three starts against Atlanta this year.
Atlanta’s pitching staff allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 3.49 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.65 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.10, along with a WHIP of 1.22 and a K/9 of 9.24.
The Braves offense has slashed .260/.326/.425 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game this year, including 5.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
First baseman Freddie Freeman and right fielder Nick Markakis continue to lead Atlanta’s hitters. Freeman is slashing .316/.400/.521 with 20 home runs, 78 RBIs and 80 runs scored, while Markakis (.312/.375/.480) has produced 14 homers, 81 RBIs and 69 runs scored.
For the home team, Miami’s pitching staff has given up 5.0 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.53, a WHIP of 1.32 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.6. The bullpen has a 5.08 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 8.1 K/9. In 56 games against NL East opponents, Marlins starters have an ERA of 4.57 and the bullpen’s ERA is 6.39.
The Miami offense has put up 3.7 runs per contest, including 3.6 per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over its last five. The team has hit .253/.340/.412 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson have led the Marlins’ hitters this year. Castro is slashing .285/.337/.402 with 10 home runs, 46 RBIs and 70 runs scored, while Anderson’s line is .277/.359/.398 with nine homers, 54 RBIs and 69 runs.
The Braves have lost 0.6 units and are 16-21 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 19 of those games, as opposed to 17 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Marlins have lost 1.5 units and are 47-50 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 48 of those games, compared to 45 that went under the total.
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The under has cashed in three of Miami’s last seven games.
Miami has recorded 21.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 23.0 over its last five.
The Braves have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
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