The ice-cold Baltimore Orioles will try to avoid losing their eighth in a row as they play host to the New York Yankees at Camden Yards. The action will be televised nationwide on ESPN and the opening pitch is scheduled for 8:08 p.m. ET.
New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles Odds
New York (-290) is entering this one as the favorite against Baltimore (+245) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. Runline odds stand at -170 for taking the Yankees -1.5 runs and +150 for the Orioles +1.5 runs.
The Yankees are 82-47 SU and have gone 64-63 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle a whole lot this year, gaining 0.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline, despite having lost 6.8 units ATS. New York’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Orioles, on the other hand, are 37-93 SU and 53-75 ATS. The team has lost 45.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 33.0 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven.
Orioles games have had an over/under record of 55-68-5 in 2018. Yankees games have gone under 63 times, gone over 57 times and pushed on seven occasions.
The right-handed Luis Severino is the probable starter for the visiting Yankees. Severino is 16-6 with a 3.28 ERA and 181 strikeouts. He has yet to face Baltimore this year, but he made four starts against the team in 2017, posting a 3-0 record with a 2.73 ERA and 29 strikeouts.
The Orioles are sending righty Dylan Bundy (7-12, 5.31 ERA) to the mound. Bundy has 140 strikeouts and 41 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.38. Bundy is 0-1 with three strikeouts and an 11.25 ERA in one start against New York this year.
As a unit, Baltimore’s pitchers have given up 5.5 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has a 5.41 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 7.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.80 ERA, 1.53 WHIP and 8.2 K/9. In 60 games against AL East opponents, Orioles starters have an ERA of 5.59 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.84.
The Baltimore hitters have put up 3.8 runs per contest, including 4.2 per game against divisional foes and 2.2 per game over their last five. The team has hit .197/.249/.272 over its last five games and is 0-5 SU during that span.
The Orioles’ batters have been led by right fielder Adam Jones and shortstop Manny Machado. Jones is slashing .280/.313/.427 with 13 home runs, 49 RBIs and 46 runs scored, while Machado is hitting .315 with 24 homers, 65 RBIs and 48 runs.
For the visiting squad, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.04 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.20 K/9. The bullpen has managed a solid ERA of just 3.15, along with a K-per-9 of 11.38.
The Yankees offense has slashed .254/.334/.454 on its way to 5.2 runs scored per game this year, including 5.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
New York’s offensive production has been sparked by Giancarlo Stanton and Miguel Andujar, who have combined to swat 53 home runs. Stanton is slashing .282/.356/.532 with 32 home runs, 82 RBIs and 84 runs scored. Andujar is hitting .300/.330/.526 with 21 homers, 70 RBIs and 67 runs scored.
The Yankees have lost 10.7 units and are 47-44 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 42 of those games, compared to 46 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 36.8 units and are 34-52 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 39 of those games, compared to 43 that’ve gone under.
New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has cashed in just two of Baltimore’s last seven games.
The Yankees have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games. The Orioles have hit seven over their last 10.
New York has posted 24.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 25.0 over its last five.
The Yankees have won seven of their last eight games SU while the Orioles have dropped nine of their last 10.
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