The Cincinnati Reds are ready to face off against their divisional rival Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field. WGN will showcase the action and the game gets underway at 2:20 p.m. ET.
Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs Odds
The Reds are 56-74 SU and are 73-56 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 5.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline, despite having gained 4.3 units ATS. The Cubs, on the other hand, are 75-53 SU and 63-64 ATS. The team’s gained 1.1 units for moneyline bettors while earning 2.0 units ATS.
Cubs games have had an over/under record of 55-69-3 in 2018. Cincinnati has been a decent over bet with a total record of 66-59-4.
Right-hander Homer Bailey is getting the start for the visiting Reds. Bailey is 1-11 with a 6.21 ERA and 64 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with three strikeouts and an 11.57 ERA against Chicago this year.
The Cubs are planning to start righty Kyle Hendricks (9-10, 4.04 ERA), who’s got 126 strikeouts and 37 walks, as well as a 1.24 WHIP. Hendricks is 0-1 with 11 strikeouts and a 5.91 ERA over two starts against Cincinnati this year.
Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 5.20 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 7.55 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.13, along with a WHIP of 1.44.
The Reds offense has slashed .258/.335/.404 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game this season, including 4.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza continue to lead Cincinnati’s hitters. Gennett is slashing .309/.356/.486 with 19 home runs, 75 RBIs and 74 runs scored, while Peraza has a .291 average with eight homers, 42 RBIs, 67 runs and 20 stolen bases.
In the other dugout, Chicago’s pitching staff has given up 4.0 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starters have a 4.04 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.23 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 8.8 K/9. In 59 games against NL Central opponents, Cubs starters have an ERA of 3.55 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.58.
The Chicago offense has put up 4.8 runs per outing, including 4.4 per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .286/.356/.514 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.
Second baseman Javier Baez and first baseman Anthony Rizzo have led the Cubs’ offense this year. Baez is slashing .297/.329/.579 with 28 home runs, 97 RBIs, 79 runs and 21 steals, and Rizzo’s line is .270/.368/.462 with 21 homers, 84 RBIs and 53 runs scored.
The Reds have lost 12.3 units and are 51-44 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 47 of those games, compared to 45 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Cubs have lost 4.8 units and are 47-52 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 42 of those games, compared to 54 that’ve cashed the under.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has cashed in six of Chicago’s last seven games.
The Reds have lost five of their last six games SU.
Chicago has posted 22.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 25.8 over its last five.
The Reds have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Cubs have hit 17 over their last 10.
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