The Pittsburgh Pirates will be taking on their divisional rival Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will televise the matchup. The game gets underway at 2:10 p.m. ET.
Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Vegas is listing Milwaukee (-135) as the favorite over Pittsburgh (+125). Bettors can gamble on the game’s total with odds posted at -120 for over 8.5 runs and even money (+100) for under 8.5. Runline odds stand at -170 for taking the Pirates +1.5 runs and +150 for the Brewers -1.5.
The Brewers are 72-59 straight up (SU) and 66-64 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 10.2 units for moneyline bettors while earning 3.3 units (ATS). On the other hand, the Pirates are 64-66 SU and have gone 62-67 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 3.9 units for moneyline bettors and 9.3 units ATS.
Milwaukee games have an over/under record of 61-65-4 in 2018. Pirates games have gone under 62 times, gone over 59 times and pushed on eight occasions.
The right-handed Chris Archer will get the nod for the visiting Pirates. Archer is 4-6 with a 4.41 ERA and 121 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Brewers this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 1.50 ERA and seven strikeouts across six innings).
The Brewers are sending righty Chase Anderson (8-7, 3.92 ERA) to the mound. Anderson has 110 strikeouts and 50 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.16. Anderson is 0-2 with seven strikeouts and a 5.91 ERA over two starts against Pittsburgh this year.
Pittsburgh’s pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 4.08 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 7.24 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.05, along with a WHIP of 1.29.
Pirates hitters have slashed .254/.322/.410 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game this season, including 4.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Pittsburgh’s hitters have been paced by outfielders Corey Dickerson and Starling Marte. Dickerson is hitting .301/.331/.470 with 11 home runs, 46 RBIs and 53 runs scored, while Marte has a .274 average with 17 homers, 58 RBIs, 65 runs and 29 steals.
For the home team, Milwaukee’s pitching staff has allowed 4.2 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starters have an ERA of 3.93, a WHIP of 1.25 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.8. The bullpen has a 3.82 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 10.1 K/9. In 54 games against NL Central opponents, Brewers starters have an ERA of 3.58 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.44.
The Milwaukee hitters have put up 4.4 runs per outing, including 3.3 per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over their last five. The team has hit .297/.360/.472 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Brewers’ batters have been led by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain. Yelich is hitting .311/.373/.537 with 23 home runs, 67 RBIs, 89 runs and 14 stolen bases, while Cain’s line sits at .308/.400/.425 with nine homers, 32 RBIs, 66 runs and 24 stolen bases.
The Pirates have gained 3.9 units and are 45-45 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 36 of those games, as opposed to 47 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 14.7 units and are 52-46 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 41 of those games, compared to 53 that went under.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The under has cashed in six of Pittsburgh’s last seven games.
Pittsburgh has recorded 20.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.8 over its last five.
The Pirates have hit four home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit 14 over their last 10.
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