The Minnesota Twins are ready to take on their AL Central nemesis Cleveland Indians at Progressive Field. The matchup begins at 1:10 p.m. ET and fans can catch it on FB.
Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Indians Odds
Minnesota (+185) is the underdog to Cleveland (-200) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this one at 9.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -110 for both the over and the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds standing at -120 for the Twins +1.5 runs and +100 for the Indians -1.5 runs.
The Twins are 62-70 SU and are 68-63 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 10.8 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having gained 1.3 units ATS. Minnesota has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Indians, on the other hand, are 75-57 SU and 63-68 ATS. The team has lost 13.9 units for moneyline bettors and 13.7 units ATS. Cleveland has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the over has cashed in three of those seven.
Cleveland games have had an over/under record of 65-60-6 in 2018. The Twins have an over/under record of 63-65-3.
The right-handed Jake Odorizzi will get the nod for the visiting Twins. Odorizzi (5-8, 4.38 ERA) has recorded 140 punchouts in 137.2 innings so far. He’s 0-2 with 14 strikeouts and a 7.85 ERA against Cleveland this year (four starts).
The Indians are going with righty Mike Clevinger (9-7, 3.30 ERA), who has 163 punchouts and 55 walks, as well as a 1.23 WHIP. Clevinger is 0-0 with eight strikeouts and a 3.46 ERA across two starts against Minnesota this year.
Cleveland’s pitchers have given up 4.1 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 3.41 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.83 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 8.9 K/9. In 59 divisional games, Indians starters have an ERA of 2.66 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.31.
Cleveland’s offense has produced 5.1 runs per contest, including 5.3 per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over its last five. The team has hit .284/.351/.403 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Indians’ offense has been led by shortstop Francisco Lindor and outfielder Michael Brantley. Lindor is hitting .290/.366/.530 with 29 home runs, 78 RBIs, 109 runs and 20 steals, and Brantley’s line is .302/.357/.463 with 14 homers, 69 RBIs and 74 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Minnesota’s pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.53 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.30 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.47, along with a K/9 of 9.23.
The Twins offense has slashed .245/.316/.404 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Minnesota’s hitters have been paced by left fielder Eddie Rosario and first baseman Joe Mauer. Rosario is hitting .291/.329/.484 with 22 home runs, 74 RBIs and 83 runs scored. Mauer is slashing .277/.351/.376 with five homers, 39 RBIs and 46 runs scored.
The Twins have lost 6.7 units and are 48-45 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 47 of those games, as opposed to 44 that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Indians have lost 10.9 units and are 47-51 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 49 of those games, compared to 44 which went under the total.
Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Indians MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
Minnesota has logged 12 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Cleveland has 13 XBH over its last five.
Minnesota has posted 18.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 16.4 over its last five.
The Twins have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Indians have hit 12 over their last 10.
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