NBA Odds: Warriors (-6)
The Golden State Warriors (42-9) and their fourth-ranked offense welcome the San Antonio Spurs (34-19) and their top-ranked defense. Action begins at 10:30 pm ET on Friday, Feb. 20 and can be seen on ESPN, KENS and CSN-BA.
The Warriors played well in their last game, barely hanging on to beat the Timberwolves 94-91 in their last matchup. Stephen Curry was the game’s leading scorer with 25 points on 9-for-23 shooting. The Spurs, meanwhile, are coming off a 104-87 win against the Pistons in their last game. Danny Green led the team in scoring by accounting for 19 points on 7-for-13 shooting.
This showdown pits one of the league’s top offenses against one of its elite defenses, as Golden State currently ranks fourth in the NBA in offensive efficiency and San Antonio is third in defensive efficiency.
This is the second game of the season between these two teams, with the Spurs winning the first matchup 113-100. Tony Parker had a stellar game with 28 points, one rebound, seven assists, and two three-pointers.
Golden State is a six-point favorite against San Antonio and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is unavailable as of now. The Warriors have gone 42-9 Straight Up (SU) and 31-19-1 Against The Spread (ATS). They have a solid 7-3 SU record over their last 10 games, but have not faired as well ATS (3-7). The Warriors are one of the best in the NBA in terms of field-goal percentage, shooting an impressive .384 from beyond the arc. Golden State is one of the most disciplined teams in the league with an assist-to-turnover ratio of 1.9. Golden State’s defense can be considered for best in the league, allowing an NBA-best .421 opponent field-goal percentage. Golden State’s defenders rank fourth in the NBA in steals with 9.4 per game. Golden State is one of the league’s top scoring teams off turnovers with an average of 19.9 points per game.
As for their opponent, the Spurs have a record of 23-28-2 ATS and 34-19 SU. San Antonio has a good SU record over the last 10 games (7-3), but have a 2-7-1 record ATS.
In their previous meeting this season, San Antonio beat Golden State, bumping its SU record over the last 10 meetings to 8-2. The Spurs also lead the matchup ATS with a record of 7-3. Golden State held the advantage in field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers twice in the last 10 matchups. On the other side of the court, San Antonio never accomplished this feat in that span.
Predictions: SU Winner – GS, ATS Winner – GS
Notes
On average, San Antonio scores 100.7 points per game (ranked 14th). Golden State ranks 15th in points allowed per game with 99.6.
San Antonio puts up an average of 96.9 points per away game (ranked 20th), while Golden State gives up 98.8 points per home game (ranked 17th).
The Spurs have a 24-8 record when they allow fewer than 100 points. The Warriors, however, have performed well when they score under 100 points, with a record of 7-3 in such matchups.
When the San Antonio Spurs allow at least 100 points they are 10-11, while the Golden State Warriors are 35-6 when they reach the century mark.
The Warriors have the best defense in the NBA, with a defensive rating of 97.8. The Spurs have an offensive rating of 103.7 (ranked 12th).
Golden State has an average field goal percentage of 48.1%, first-ranked in the NBA. San Antonio is a winning 9-4 when opponents have a similar or higher field goal percentage.
The Golden State Warriors average 27.1 three point attempts per game, and the San Antonio Spurs attempt 23.1 per game. When going for at least 25 three pointers in a game this season, both teams have winning records; Golden State is 31-6 and San Antonio is 14-7.
The Golden State Warriors are among the best in the league with an assist to turnover ratio of 1.87 (ranked fourth). Ranking sixth, the San Antonio Spurs have an A/TO of 1.78.
Golden State ranks near the top of the NBA for rebounds at fifth (45.1 per game), while San Antonio ranks 12th with 43.8 per game.
Golden State is ranked second in defensive rebounds, while San Antonio ranks 23rd in offensive rebounds.
Golden State ranks fifth in forced turnovers with an average rate of 15.5%. San Antonio has a 10-8 record when they suffer a turnover rate equal to or exceeding this.
