NBA Odds: Magic (even)
Southeast Division foes will collide when the Orlando Magic (19-39) face the Miami Heat (24-31) at the Amway Center. Action begins at 7:00 pm ET on Wednesday, Feb. 25 and can be seen on Sun Sports and FSN-FL.
The Magic played well in their last game, topping the 76ers 103-98 on Sunday. Nikola Vucevic was a key piece, recording his 34th double-double of the season with 31 points and 14 rebounds. The Heat, meanwhile, are coming off a 119-108 win against that same 76ers squad on Monday. Luol Deng led the game in scoring by accounting for 29 points on 11-for-14 shooting.
The Heat may not find many second-chance opportunities in this matchup. They’re ranked 26th in the league in offensive rebounding (offensive rebound percentage of 23.0%), whereas Orlando is fifth-best in the NBA on the defensive glass (defensive rebound percentage of 76.7%).
Both teams have won a game in the season series. The Magic had the upper hand in the most recent game, a close 102-101 win. Vucevic was the game’s top overall scorer with 26 points.
The odds for Orlando and Miami are even, while the Over/Under (O/U) is currently unavailable. The Magic have gone 19-39 Straight Up (SU) and 30-27-1 Against The Spread (ATS). They are 4-7 SU and 7-4 ATS against divisional opponents.
In the other locker room, the Heat have 24-31 SU and 24-28-3 ATS records. Against fellow division members, Miami has a 3-7 SU and a 4-5-1 ATS record. Miami’s defense allows just 96.8 points per game, ranking them fourth in the league.
In their previous meeting this season, Orlando beat Miami, but the win was not enough for them to overtake Miami in the recent head-to-head series. Its record is now 1-9 SU over the most recent 10 meetings. The Heat also lead the matchup ATS with a record of 5-4-1. Orlando held the edge in field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers one time, while Miami was never able to do so in their most recent 10 games.
Predictions: SU Winner – MIA, ATS Winner – MIA
Notes
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando’s last 6 games.
Orlando is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games.
Orlando is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games.
Orlando is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando’s last 6 games at home.
Orlando is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games at home.
Orlando is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home.
Orlando is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Miami.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Orlando’s last 8 games when playing Miami.
Orlando is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando’s last 6 games when playing at home against Miami.
Orlando ranks 25th in points per game with 95.8, while Miami ranks fourth in points allowed with an average of 96.8 given up.
The Orlando Magic score 96.7 points per home game this season. However, Miami is the top-ranked team in points allowed on the road, giving up just 95.8 per game.
The Orlando Magic are an even 14-14 when they keep their opponents to fewer than 100 points. The Miami Heat have an underachieving record of 11-25 this season when they don’t reach the century mark.
The Orlando Magic have an abysmal 5-25 record in games where they have allowed at least 100 points. The Miami Heat are 13-6 when they hit triple digits.
The Magic have an offensive rating of 99.3 (ranked 27th). The Heat rank 23rd for their defensive rating of 105.0.
The Orlando Magic average 96.4 possessions per game and .993 points per possession, while the Miami Heat earn fewer possessions (92.2) but more points per possession (1.014).
The Orlando Magic average an effective field goal percentage of 49.9% this season. The Miami Heat have an underachieving record of 6-22 when opponents have an EFF% of 49.9% or greater.
On average, the Orlando Magic make 20.4 assists per game and the Miami Heat make 20.3. Orlando is ranked 26th, while Miami is ranked 28th.
Both the Miami Heat and the Orlando Magic fall near the bottom of the league when it comes to blocking. Miami ranks 24th with an average of 4.2 per game, while Orlando ranks last with 3.6 per game.
The Magic and the Heat are well matched when it comes to rebounding. Orlando is ranked 28th in offensive rebounding, and Miami is also ranked 28th in defensive rebounding.
The Miami Heat average 7.9 steals per game. When giving up 7 or more steals, the Orlando Magic have a subpar record (9-30) this season.
