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Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Clippers Pick and Odds Preview

The Los Angeles Clippers (42-23) visit Dallas to take on the Mavericks (41-25) in what should be a high-scoring game. Action begins at 8:30 pm ET on Friday, Mar. 13 and can be seen on NBATV, FSN-PT and FSN-SW.

The Mavericks are are hoping for a better outcome after their 127-94 loss to the Cavaliers on Tuesday. Monta Ellis had a solid performance, putting up 17 points, four assists, and three rebounds for Dallas. The Clippers, meanwhile, are coming off a 120-108 win against the Thunder on Wednesday. Chris Paul led the game in scoring by registering 33 points on 11-for-19 shooting.

J.J. Redick has upped his play over the last five games for the Clippers, averaging 22.6 points, 4.0 rebounds, 2.2 assists, 1.4 steals, and 3.2 three-pointers.

It might turn into a shootout as a pair of the NBA’s top offenses match up. Dallas ranks fifth in the league with 106.7 points per 100 possessions, while Los Angeles is first in that metric (109.1). Also, the Clippers commit the second-fewest errors in the NBA (turnover percentage of 12.0%), while the disruptive defense of the Mavericks causes the third-most (opponents’ turnover percentage of 15.9%).

The Clippers have emerged victorious in both games against the Mavericks this year, including a 115-98 win the last time these two teams met. DeAndre Jordan put up 22 points and 27 rebounds.

The odds for Dallas and Los Angeles are even, while the Over/Under (O/U) is currently not available. The Mavericks have gone 41-25 Straight Up (SU) and 29-34-3 Against The Spread (ATS). They are 21-17 SU and 13-22-3 ATS against the Western Conference. The Mavericks have no trouble scoring as they rank fifth in the league in offense with 104.3 points per game. Dallas is one of the most disciplined teams in the league with an assist-to-turnover ratio of 1.8. Dallas is the league’s top scoring team off turnovers with an average of 19.2 points per game.

As for their opponent, the Clippers have a record of 29-36 ATS and 42-23 SU. Against the Western Conference, Los Angeles is 28-12 SU and 19-21 ATS. Offensively, they average 106.2 points per game, which is good for second in the league. The Clippers rely heavily on three-pointers on offense, ranking fourth in the league with 638 made (9.8 per game). The Clippers are a unselfish team with an average of 24.4 assists per game, ranking third in the NBA.

With the Clippers’ last win against Dallas, their SU record is now 8-2 over the Mavericks in the last 10 meetings. With a 6-4 record, the Clippers also have the advantage ATS. Over the last 10 matchups, Los Angeles held the advantage in field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers four times. Dallas performed this feat one time.

Predictions: SU Winner – LAC, ATS Winner – LAC

Notes

On average, Los Angeles puts up 106.2 points per game (ranked second). Dallas ranks 20th in points allowed per game with 100.8.

Dallas ranks 23rd in points allowed per home game (101.3 PPG), while Los Angeles ranks second in points per away game with 105.9.

In games where they allow fewer than 100 points, the Dallas Mavericks are an outstanding 22-3. In games where they fail to hit triple digits, the Los Angeles Clippers have a losing record of 6-12.

Dallas is 19-22 when allowing 100 or more points this season. The Clippers have an exceptional 36-11 record when they hit the century mark.

The Mavericks have the fifth-best offensive rating in the NBA (106.7). The Clippers are also in the top half of the league based on their defensive rating of 102.8 (ranked 15th).

The Dallas Mavericks average 97.7 possessions per game and 1.067 points per possession, while the Los Angeles Clippers earn fewer possessions (97.4) but more points per possession (1.091).

The Dallas Mavericks have one of the best effective field goal percentages this season, ranking fifth in the league with an EFF% of 51.3%. When their opponents record a similar or higher EFF%, the Los Angeles Clippers have a losing 8-17 record.

The Los Angeles Clippers, ranked third in the NBA, average 24.4 assists per game. The Dallas Mavericks make 22.3 assists (ranked eighth).

The Dallas Mavericks average 4.7 blocks per game for a rank of 15th. The Los Angeles Clippers rank higher (ninth), earning 4.9 blocks each contest.

The Dallas Mavericks rank 20th in offensive rebounding, while the Los Angeles Clippers rank 10th in defensive rebounding.

The Mavericks record 8.3 steals per game on average (ranked ninth). The Clippers are 11-9 when allowing at least 8 steals.

Written by GMS Previews

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