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Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks Game Preview and NBA Pick

The Milwaukee Bucks head to TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics. The game starts at 7:30 pm ET on Friday, Apr. 3 and will air on FSN-WI and CSN-NE.

The Celtics were victorious over the Pacers 100-87 on Wednesday. Tyler Zeller was the team’s high scorer with 19 points on 8-for-9 shooting. The Bucks, meanwhile, are coming off a 95-91 win over the Bulls on Wednesday. Michael Carter-Williams had a good game, recording 21 points and 10 rebounds to claim his 11th double-double of the season.

This will be the second matchup of the season between these two teams. The Bucks won the first game 96-93. Brandon Knight scored a game-high 26 points.

The odds are even for this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is presently unavailable. The Celtics enter the game with records of 34-41 Straight Up (SU) and 43-32 Against The Spread (ATS). They have gone 22-23 SU and 26-19 ATS against teams from the Eastern Conference. Spreading the ball around is a huge part of Boston’s offense. They are fourth in the league in assists with an average of 24.3 per game.

On the other side, Milwaukee has a SU record of 37-38 and an ATS record of 41-32-2. Milwaukee has a record of 26-19 SU and 27-16-2 ATS against the East. Milwaukee’s defense is one of the top in the league, with opponents shooting only .436 from the field. A large part of Milwaukee’s game is creating turnovers and turning them into points. They are scoring 18.6 points per game off turnovers, which ranks fourth in the league.

Milwaukee won the last meeting this season between these two teams, bringing its SU record in the past 10 games to 6-4. The Celtics hold the advantage ATS with a record of 5-4-1. Both Boston and Milwaukee have led in three key areas (field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers) twice over the last 10.

Predictions: SU Winner – BOS, ATS Winner – BOS

Notes

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston’s last 6 games.

Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games.

Boston is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games at home.

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston’s last 9 games at home.

The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Boston’s last 11 games when playing Milwaukee.

Boston is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Milwaukee.

Boston is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Milwaukee.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston’s last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee.

Boston is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Milwaukee.

Boston puts up an average of 100.9 points per game (ranked 14th), while Milwaukee gives up 97.6 points per game (ranked eighth).

Boston ranks 17th in points per home game with 101.2 points, while Milwaukee ranks ninth in points allowed on the road with 98.8.

Boston has an outstanding 27-6 record when it allows under 100 points this season. Milwaukee is 20-24 when it scores under 100.

Boston is an abysmal 7-35 when it allows 100 or more points. Milwaukee has a 17-14 record when it reaches the century mark.

The Celtics have an offensive rating of 101.4 (ranked 18th). The Bucks rank fourth for their defensive rating of 100.0.

On average, Boston has 99.5 possessions per game and scores 1.014 points on each possession. Milwaukee has both fewer possessions (97.6) and scores fewer points during those possessions (1.001).

The Boston Celtics average an effective field goal percentage of 48.6% this season. The Milwaukee Bucks have a losing record of 12-27 when opponents have an EFF% of 48.6% or greater.

The Boston Celtics average 24.5 three point attempts per game and are 16-18 when attempting at least 25 in a game. The Milwaukee Bucks average 18.3 attempts and have a winning record (4-1) when attempting 25 or more.

The Boston Celtics, with an assist to turnover ratio of 1.83, rank fifth in the NBA. The Milwaukee Bucks have a lower A/TO (1.45), ranking 22nd.

The Celtics rank 11th in rebounds per game with 44.1, while the Bucks rank 23rd with 42.1 per game.

Boston is ranked 11th in defensive rebounds, while Milwaukee ranks 16th in offensive rebounds.

Milwaukee is one of the top teams in forced turnovers, with opponents averaging a TOV% of 16.7% (ranked first). Boston has an abysmal record of 1-9 SU this season when its TOV% reaches 16.7% or greater.

Written by GMS Previews

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