Southeast Division foes will lock horns when the Miami Heat (35-45) play the Orlando Magic (25-55) at AmericanAirlines Arena. Action begins at 7:30 pm ET on Monday, Apr. 13 and can be seen on FSN-FL and Sun Sports.
The Heat are are expecting a better outcome after their 107-104 loss to the Raptors on Saturday. Dwyane Wade was the game’s leading scorer with 30 points. The Magic, meanwhile, are feeling some disappointment after the close 80-79 loss against the Knicks on Saturday. Tobias Harris had a good game for Orlando, registering 15 points, five rebounds, and one steal.
Goran Dragic has taken his game to another level over the last five games for the Heat. During that stretch, he has averaged 20.2 points, 2.6 rebounds, 4.6 assists, 0.6 steals, and 1.4 three-pointers.
The Heat lead the season series against the Magic two games to one, escaping with a narrow 93-90 victory the last time these teams met. Luol Deng had a stellar game with 21 points, seven rebounds, two assists, one steal, and one three-pointer.
The odds for Miami and Orlando are even, while the Over/Under (O/U) is unavailable as of now. The Heat come into this game 35-45 Straight Up (SU) and 34-43-3 Against The Spread (ATS). Over their last 10 games, they have only managed a record of 2-8 ATS.
In the other locker room, the Magic have a record of 41-38-1 ATS and 25-55 SU. Despite having a losing record against its own division, Orlando is successful ATS in those games with a record of 9-6.
The Heat’s win over Orlando in their last game bumped their SU record to 9-1 over the Magic in the last 10 meetings. With a 5-4-1 record, the Heat also have the advantage ATS. During their latest 10 matchups, neither team ever held the advantage in field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers.
Predictions: SU Winner – MIA, ATS Winner – MIA
Notes
Miami scores an average of 94.5 points per game (ranked 28th), while Orlando allows 101.4 points per game (ranked 22nd).
On average, Miami puts up 96.8 points per home game (ranked 26th), while Orlando gives up 100.5 points per away game (ranked 13th).
The Orlando Magic lost their last game by a one-point margin. In games decided by a margin of three points or less, the Miami Heat are 4-10. Orlando is 6-8 in close games this season.
When giving up fewer than 100 points, the Orlando Magic have a 17-21 record. When scoring fewer than 100 points, the Miami Heat have a poor record of 13-37.
When allowing 100 or more points in a game, the Magic are just 8-34 this season. Miami is a winning 22-8 when registering triple digits.
The Magic have an offensive rating of 99.3 (ranked 27th), while the Heat rank 21st for their defensive rating of 104.2.
Miami has an average field goal percentage of 45.6% (ranked 10th). Orlando is an underachieving 6-36 when opponents have a similar or higher field goal percentage.
Miami averages 20.2 three point attempts per game, and Orlando attempts 19.5 per game. In games where the teams have 25 or more three point attempts, the Heat have a subpar 4-8 record while the Magic have a 4-6 record.
Miami has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.43 this season (ranked 25th). Orlando ranks higher with an A/TO of 1.44 (ranked 24th).
The Miami Heat are one of the worst rebounding teams in the league with just 39.0 per game. The Orlando Magic average 41.8 rebounds (ranked 25th).
The Orlando Magic rank 26th in offensive rebounding, while the Miami Heat rank 28th in defensive rebounding.
Miami is one of the top teams in forced turnovers, with opponents averaging a TOV% of 15.1% (ranked eighth). Orlando has a losing record of 12-29 SU this season when its TOV% reaches 15.1% or greater.