Dillon Gee (0-1, 9.00 ERA) and Jarred Cosart (0-1, 1.50 ERA) start in the first of a four-game series between the New York Mets (6-3) and the Miami Marlins (3-6) at Citi Field. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Thursday, Apr. 16 and can be seen on FSN-FL, SNY and MLB Network.
Gee is 3-1 with a 2.84 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, and 28 strikeouts against the Marlins. Lucas Duda (.353 ) kept up his hot start yesterday, going 2 for 5 with one run, one home run, and two RBIs. Against the Mets, Cosart is 0-0 with a 3.00 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, and five strikeouts. Dee Gordon (.378 ) has been successful at the plate to the start the season for the Marlins, going 2 for 4 yesterday with two RBIs.
New York is a -119 favorite against Miami and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Mets have an overall money line of +348 and a record as the favorite of 3-1. New York is one of the best in the NL in terms of walks, earning an average of 3.7 per game. Crossing over to the pitching and defensive side, it’s been a struggle for opposing teams to score runs against the Mets. The 2.8 runs that New York’s pitchers allow per game makes them the top staff in the NL. The Mets are the fifth-best team in the league at limiting hits and walks to their opponents, recording a WHIP of 1.05 so far this season.
Teams in their division have had an easy time with the Marlins when they’re ranked as the underdog. They have a 0-1 record as favorite and 2-4 SU. Offensively, the Marlins have really sputtered in division games. They have decreased their season average of 3.8 runs per game by averaging 3.2 in those contests. The Marlins are an excellent base stealing team with eight stolen bases, ranking fifth in the MLB. The Marlins average 4.7 runs allowed per game, but does better whenever another team from the NL East is on the schedule. They bring that runs allowed average down to 3.8 against division foes.
The Mets have a 5-2 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Cosart takes the mound. Gee (RHP) will be on the hill against the Marlins, who have a 2-5 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – NYM, O/U – Over
Notes
NY Mets are 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets’s last 7 games.
NY Mets are 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 9 of NY Mets’s last 10 games when playing Miami.
NY Mets are 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Miami.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets’s last 5 games when playing at home against Miami.
The Mets sit at 6-3 against the division, while the Marlins are struggling at 2-4.
In extra innings, the Marlins are 1-0.
The Marlins are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Mets have a 0-2 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Marlins are 3-1. The Mets have a 5-0 record when outhitting opponents.
Tied at 15th for total runs, New York and Miami have each notched 34 runs this season.
Ranking seventh, Miami is in the top 10 of the league in walks, notching 32 this season. New York ranks in the top five at fifth with 33.
When the Mets hit at least one home run, they are 3-1. When the Marlins hit at least one homer, they have a 1-1 record.
