Bartolo Colon (2-0, 2.77 ERA) and the New York Mets (7-3) meet David Phelps (0-0, 36.00 ERA) and the Miami Marlins (3-7) in the second of a four-game division series at Citi Field. The Mets won the last game 7-5, extending a five-game winning streak. The game starts at 7:10 p.m. ET on Friday, Apr. 17 and will air on FSN-FL and SNY.
Colon has a 3.48 ERA and a 3-2 record in his career against the Marlins, and is up against a struggling Miami offense that’s hitting just .228 on the year. Lucas Duda (.395, 6 Rs, 1 HR, 8 RBIs) continued his strong start to the season yesterday, going 3 for 4 with one run and one RBI. In his career against the Mets, Phelps is 0-1 with a 108.00 ERA, 18.00 WHIP, and one strike out. Giancarlo Stanton (.242, 5 Rs, 1 HR, 9 RBIs, 2 SBs) has been doing well to start the season, going 2 for 3 yesterday with two runs, one home run, and two RBIs.
New York, a -137 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Miami. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is seven runs. The Mets are 3-1 as the favorite and have an overall money line of +348. The Mets typically don’t swing at bad pitches, which has led to an impressive 3.7 walks per game. As for the New York defense and pitching staff, teams routinely struggle to score runs against the Mets, who allow an NL-low 2.8 runs per game. The Mets are fifth in the league in WHIP at 1.06.
Against divisional opponents, they are 2-4 SU and have a poor 0-1 record when they were an underdog to win. When it comes to scoring, the Marlins haven’t performed as well against teams from the NL East. During those games, they averaged three runs per game, below their 3.8 runs per game season average. The Marlins have racked up nine steals on the year, making them one of the most threatening base-running teams in the league. Miami’s pitching staff tends to perform well when they play division rivals. They’ve allowed an average of 3.8 runs per game against teams from the NL East, lower than their season average of 4.7.
So far this season, the Mets are 1-0 against the Marlins. This game will feature Phelps (RHP) on the mound against the Mets, who have a 5-2 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The right-handed Colon will take the mound against the Marlins, who have a 2-5 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner – NYM, O/U – Over
Notes
Miami has won 33% (2-4) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, New York has won 83% (5-1) of its games when taking a late lead.
The New York batters brought in a solid nine hits last game. Miami has a record of 1-3 when their opponents get that many hits or more.
When they are outhit, the Marlins are 0-5. The Mets have a 1-3 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 25th in home runs, Miami has hit five this season. New York ranks 19th with seven home runs.
New York and Miami both rank in the top 10 of the league in hits. New York sits at sixth with 7.89 hits per game and Miami ranks 10th with 7.44.
Ranking 19th, Miami is in the bottom half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.645). New York ranks in the top half at 14th with an OPS of .679.
When the Marlins allow at least one home run, they are 3-4. When the Mets allow one or more homers, they have a 4-3 record.
