Jacob deGrom (1-1, 1.46 ERA) and Mat Latos (0-2, 17.36 ERA) are on the hill in the third of a four-game series between the New York Mets (8-3) and the Miami Marlins (3-8) at Citi Field. The Mets won the last game 4-1, continuing a six-game winning streak. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, Apr. 18 and can be seen on FSN-FL and PIX11.
deGrom is 2-0 with a 1.67 ERA in his appearances against the Marlins, and goes up against a below-average Miami offense which is batting just .226 this season. Michael Cuddyer (.317, 7 Rs, 1 HR, 7 RBIs) kept up his hot start yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run and one RBI. When pitching against the Mets, Latos is 2-3 with a 2.54 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, and 48 strikeouts. Giancarlo Stanton (.243, 6 Rs, 2 HRs, 10 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
New York is a -139 favorite against Miami and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Mets have recorded an overall money line of +448 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 4-1. New York has had an impressive season against division opponents, earning 4-1 and 7-3 records as the favorite and SU respectively. The Mets have no trouble scoring as they rank fifth in the NL in offense with 4.1 runs per game. New York is one of the best in the NL in terms of walks, earning an average of 3.6 per game. As for the pitchers, the Mets are the fifth-best team in the league at limiting hits and walks to their opponents, recording a WHIP of 1.03 so far this season.
As for their opponent, Miami has a winless record of 0-2 playing as the underdog and a disappointing overall money line of -540. Teams in their division have had an easy time with the Marlins when they’re ranked as the underdog. They have a 0-2 record as favorite and 2-5 SU. Offensively, the Marlins have really sputtered in division games. They have decreased their season average of 3.9 runs per game by averaging 3.4 in those contests. The Marlins are an excellent base stealing team with nine stolen bases, ranking fourth in the MLB. The Marlins average 4.9 runs allowed per game, but does better whenever another team from the NL East is on the schedule. They bring that runs allowed average down to 4.3 against division foes.
The Mets have the edge in the season series, 2-0. The Mets have a perfect 4-0 record at home (6-2 overall) against right-handed starting pitchers, which is what they’ll be facing when Latos takes the mound. deGrom (RHP) will be on the hill against the Marlins, who have a 2-6 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – NYM, O/U – Over
Notes
Miami has won 33% (2-4) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, New York has won 83% (5-1) of its games when taking a late lead.
After a weak showing last week where they got in seven hits, the Mets need to step it up. The Marlins have a record of 1-5 when opponents get seven hits or fewer.
The Mets are coming into the game with six consecutive wins, while the Marlins currently have a losing streak of two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Marlins are 3-1. The Mets have a 6-0 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 16th in runs, Miami has earned 40 this season. New York ranks 11th with 45 runs.
Ranking eighth, Miami is in the top 10 of the league in walks, notching 35 this season. New York ranks in the top five at third with 39.
The Mets are 4-1 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Marlins are 1-3 when they hit at least one homer.
