Jerome Williams (0-1, 4.09 ERA) and Dan Haren (1-0, 2.08 ERA) take the hill in the first of a three-game series between the Philadelphia Phillies (4-9) and the Miami Marlins (3-10) at Citizens Bank Park. Action begins at 7:05 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Apr. 21 and can be seen on CSN-PHI and FSN-FL.
Williams pitched 5.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering four runs (one unearned), striking out one and walking one in a 6-1 defeat to the Mets. Odubel Herrera (.302, 6 Rs, 3 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 4 Sunday with one run. Haren is 1-5 with a 4.50 ERA when pitching against the Phillies. He takes on a below-average Philadelphia offense which is hitting just .212 this season. Giancarlo Stanton (.239, 7 Rs, 2 HRs, 11 RBIs, 2 SBs) has been successful at the plate to the start the season, going 2 for 5 Sunday with one run and one RBI.
Miami takes on Philadelphia as a -130 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at eight runs. The Phillies have recorded an overall money line of -366 and have shown a weak performance as an underdog this season with a record of 4-8. Philadelphia has recorded a disappointing 3-7 record as the underdog over its last 10 games. Philadelphia’s batters do not strike out very often, with only 7.6 per game. Turning to the pitchers, opponents have consistently been struck out by the Phillies, who rank fifth in the NL in strikeouts per home game with 8.7.
In the other locker room, Miami is coming in with an overall money line of -840 and a disappointing record of 3-5as the favorite. They have played poorly as the favorite with a 2-3 record against NL East foes, and a 3-7 record SU.
The Phillies have a bad 3-8 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Haren takes the mound. Williams (RHP) will be on the hill against the Marlins, who have a 2-9 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – MIA, O/U – Under
Notes
In their last game, the Marlins lost by a margin of one run. The Phillies are 1-2 in one-run games. The Marlins have a 1-4 record in close games.
The Marlins are 1-0 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Phillies are 1-1 in such matchups.
The Marlins managed to give up four walks in their last game. They’ll have to pick it up against the Phillies who are heading in with a 2-3 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Marlins are 3-3. The Phillies have a 3-1 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 29th, Philadelphia is near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 32 this season. Miami ranks in the bottom half at 17th with 50.
Ranking 18th, Philadelphia is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 34 this season. Miami ranks in the top half at 14th with 37.
The Phillies are 1-2 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Marlins are 1-4 when they hit at least one homer.
