Kyle Lobstein (1-0, 5.40 ERA) and Nathan Eovaldi (0-0, 4.35 ERA) take the hill in the second of a four-game series between the Detroit Tigers (11-2) and the New York Yankees (6-7) at Comerica Park. The Tigers won the last game 2-1 and Detroit leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 7:08 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Apr. 21 and can be seen on YES and FSN-DET.
Lobstein pitched 5.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering three runs, striking out three and walking two in an 8-5 win over the Indians. When pitching against the Tigers, Eovaldi is 0-0 with a 1.50 ERA, 1.50 WHIP, and five strikeouts.
Detroit is a -128 favorite against New York and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at nine runs. The Tigers have recorded an overall money line of +834 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 6-1. Detroit is an impressive 4-1 as the favorite over its last 10 games. The Tigers have no trouble scoring as they lead the AL in offense with 5.7 runs per game. The Tigers are one of the best in the AL in terms of hits with a phenomenal 10.7 per game. Detroit leads the MLB in steals, swiping 13 bases. Turning to the pitchers, the Tigers are the top team in the league at limiting hits and walks to their opponents, recording a WHIP of 0.98 so far this season.
In games where it is the underdog, New York has a 3-3 record and an overall money line of -53. The Yankees can change the game with one swing of the bat, ranking second in the league with 18 home runs.
The Tigers have the edge in the season series, 1-0. The Tigers have a perfect 4-0 record at home (7-1 overall) against right-handed starting pitchers, which is what they’ll be facing when Eovaldi takes the mound.
Predictions: SU Winner – DET, O/U – Over
Notes
New York has won 33% (2-4) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Detroit has won 86% (6-1) of its games when taking a late lead.
After a weak showing last week where they got in seven hits, the Tigers need to step it up. The Yankees have a record of 2-3 when opponents get seven hits or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Tigers are 0-2. The Yankees have a 2-6 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking seventh in home runs, Detroit has hit 14 this season. New York ranks second with 18 home runs.
Ranking seventh, New York is in the top 10 of the league in hits, notching 8.25 per game. Detroit ranks in the top five at second with 10.67.
Ranking ninth, New York is in the top 10 of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.729). Detroit ranks in the top five at second with an OPS of .843.
The Yankees are 4-5 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Tigers are 2-2 when they allow at least one homer.