Kyle Lohse (0-3, 10.34 ERA) and Homer Bailey (0-1, 7.94 ERA) take the hill in the last of a four-game series between the Milwaukee Brewers (2-13) and the Cincinnati Reds (8-7) at Miller Park. The Brewers lost the last game 2-1, continuing an eight-game losing streak. Cincinnati can finish out the series sweep with a win in this game. Action begins at 1:40 p.m. ET on Thursday, Apr. 23 and can be seen on FSN-OH.
Lohse is 7-5 with a 2.69 ERA in his appearances against the Reds, and goes up against a below-average Cincinnati offense which is batting just .226 this season. Adam Lind (.275, 3 Rs, 1 HR, 7 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one RBI. Bailey is 4-8 with a 4.94 ERA when pitching against the Brewers. He is up against a below-average Milwaukee offense which is hitting just .214 this season. Joey Votto (.386, 12 Rs, 6 HRs, 14 RBIs, 2 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Reds, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one RBI.
Cincinnati takes on Milwaukee as a -118 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at eight runs. The Brewers have recorded an overall money line of -1,111 and have shown a weak performance as an underdog this season with a record of 1-5. Milwaukee has recorded a disappointing 1-5 record as the underdog over its last 10 games.
As for their opponent, Cincinnati is coming in with an overall money line of +61 and an impressive record of 2-1 as the favorite. They have been on a bit of a dry streak over their last 10 games, recording zero wins when playing as the favorite and with an SU record of 3-7. The Reds are an excellent base-stealing team with an MLB-best 17 stolen bases.
The Reds have the edge in the season series, 3-0. The Brewers have a bad 1-6 record at home (2-9 overall) against right-handed starting pitchers, which is what they’ll be facing when Bailey takes the mound. Lohse (RHP) will be on the hill against the Reds, who have a 6-5 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – CIN, O/U – Over
Notes
The Reds won their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Brewers are 1-2. The Reds are 5-2 in close games this season.
The Reds are 1-2 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Brewers are 0-1 in such matchups.
The Reds are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Brewers have a 2-9 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Brewers are 1-11. The Reds have a 3-4 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 29th in home runs, Milwaukee has hit six this season. Cincinnati ranks fourth with 18 home runs.
Ranking 13th, Milwaukee is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.21 per game. Cincinnati ranks in the top 10 at 10th with 8.00.
Ranking 30th, Milwaukee is at the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.570). Cincinnati ranks near the bottom at 22nd with an OPS of .657.
The Reds are 6-6 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Brewers are 0-9 when they allow at least one homer.
