Jordan Lyles (1-1, 3.50 ERA) and the Colorado Rockies (8-7) go up against Tyson Ross (1-0, 4.08 ERA) and the San Diego Padres (10-6) in the last of a four-game division series at Coors Field. The Rockies won the last game 5-4 and San Diego leads the series 2-1. The game gets underway at 3:10 p.m. ET on Thursday, Apr. 23 and will air on FSN-SD.
Lyles has a 6.30 ERA and a 1-3 record in his career against the Padres, and is up against a strong San Diego offense that’s hitting .282 on the year. Nolan Arenado (.327, 11 Rs, 3 HRs, 11 RBIs) continued his hot start yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run and one RBI. In his career against the Rockies, Ross is 0-4 with a 3.16 ERA. He meets a solid Colorado offense that’s batting .272. Yangervis Solarte (.343, 4 Rs, 2 HRs, 9 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
Colorado is a -118 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at 10 runs. The Rockies are in an interesting position this season. While it has a notable overall money line (+27), its record as favorite (1-4) is less impressive. They have struggled as the favorite over their last 10 games, going 0-4. Colorado has averaged 3.1 runs per game during divisional play, lower than its season average of 4.3. The Rockies are a dangerous hitting team with 57 extra base hits, one of the highest totals in the MLB. Colorado’s pitching staff will be looking to pick it up in this one after recent struggles. The Rockies have given up an average of 5.9 runs to opponents in their last 10 games, above their season average of 4.7 runs per game.
Moving on to the away team, the Padres come into this game with a solid win percentage of .625 when playing as the underdog (5-3) and an overall money line of +498. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 8-2 SU and have played well as the underdog with a 4-1 record. They sport the top-ranked offense in the NL, averaging 5.3 runs per game. The top hitting team in the NL are the Padres, who average 10.3 hits per game.
In their previous three games this season, the Padres have a 2-1 record. The Rockies will take on a right-hander (Ross) in this game. They have a 6-6 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season and are a winless 0-4 at home. Taking the hill against the Padres will be the right-hander Lyles. They sport a 6-4 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner – SD, O/U – Over
Notes
The Padres lost their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Rockies are 2-2. The Padres are 4-3 in close games this season.
The Rockies are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Padres have a 2-4 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Padres are 0-5. The Rockies have a 1-5 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 13th in home runs, Colorado has hit 14 this season. San Diego ranks eighth with 16 home runs.
Ranking first in hits, San Diego has earned 10.27 per game this season. Colorado ranks third with 9.29 hits.
Colorado and San Diego both rank in the top 10 of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Colorado sits at eighth with an OPS of .757 and San Diego ranks sixth with an OPS of .774.
When the Padres allow at least one home run, they are 5-4. When the Rockies allow one or more homers, they have a 3-6 record.
