Jarred Cosart (1-1, 3.63 ERA) and Dillon Gee (0-1, 5.60 ERA) take the hill in the first of a three-game series between the Miami Marlins (8-11) and the New York Mets (14-5) at Marlins Park. The Marlins come into this series riding a five-game winning streak. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Monday, Apr. 27 and can be seen on SNY and FSN-FL.
Cosart pitched 6.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering one run and striking out four in a 6-1 win over the Phillies. Adeiny Hechavarria (.333, 15 Rs, 2 HRs, 16 RBIs, 1 SB) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 4 with three RBIs. Gee is 3-1 with a 3.30 ERA when pitching against the Marlins. He takes on a quality Miami offense which is hitting .265 this season. Travis d’Arnaud (.317, 5 Rs, 2 HRs, 10 RBIs) has been successful at the plate to the start the season for the Mets, going 2 for 3 yesterday with one run and one RBI.
Miami is a slim -113 favorite at home against New York. According to the oddsmakers, the Over/Under (O/U) is currently seven runs. The Marlins have recorded an overall money line of -390 and have shown a weak performance as a favorite this season with a record of 4-6. Miami has had a discouraging season against division opponents, earning records of 3-4 and 7-9 as the favorite and SU respectively. Miami’s pitchers put it all together when division rivals are on the field. Its average runs allowed per game drops to 3.7 against fellow NL East members, compared to its 4.1 season average.
In games where it is the underdog, New York has a 4-3 record and an overall money line of +1,068. They have been playing solid baseball as the underdog with a 3-2 record against NL East opponents, and a 13-3 record SU. Offensively, they average 4.6 runs per game, which is good for fourth in the NL. New York is excellent at drawing walks with 3.4 per game, ranking third in the NL. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Mets are one of the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.10 for the season.
The Mets have the edge in the season series, 4-0. The Marlins have a bad 5-10 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Gee takes the mound. Cosart (RHP) will be on the hill against the Mets, who have an 11-3 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – NYM, O/U – Over
Notes
New York recorded at least two errors for the second time this season. Miami has never registered more than one error in a game this season.
In extra innings, the Marlins are 1-0.
The Mets are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Marlins have a 2-5 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Marlins are 8-4. The Mets have an 8-0 record when outhitting opponents.
Miami and New York both rank in the top 10 of the league in runs. Miami sits at 10th with 85 runs this season and New York ranks ninth with 86.
Ranking 19th, Miami is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 53 this season. New York ranks in the top 10 at eighth with 62.
The Marlins are 3-5 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Mets are 7-2 when they hit at least one homer.
