Johnny Cueto (2-2, 1.95 ERA) gets the ball for the Cincinnati Reds (12-12) as they go up against Julio Teheran (2-1, 4.67 ERA) and the Atlanta Braves (11-13) in the last of a four-game series at Turner Field. The Reds won the last game 8-4 and Cincinnati leads the series 2-1. The game starts at 1:35 p.m. ET on Sunday, May. 3 and will air on FSN-OH and FSN-S.
Teheran has a 2.33 ERA and a 1-1 record in his career against the Reds, and is up against a struggling Cincinnati offense that’s hitting just .229 on the year. Kelly Johnson (.250, 9 Rs, 4 HRs, 11 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run. In his pitching opportunities against the Braves, Cueto is 1-2 with a 3.29 ERA, 33 strikeouts and 12 walks. Joey Votto (.322, 15 Rs, 7 HRs, 17 RBIs, 4 SBs) went 1 for 5 yesterday with one run.
Atlanta is a +111 underdog in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at seven runs. When playing as the underdog, the Braves have an 8-9 record and overall money line at +79. Over the last 10 games, they have performed poorly when playing as the underdog (2-5).
Switching to the opposing bench, the Reds come into this game in an interesting position. They have a negative money line (-92) but have won more than 60 percent of games played as the favorite (6-4). Cincinnati is a terror on the base paths, ranking second in the MLB with 29 stolen bases.
The Reds are 2-1 against the Braves this season. The Braves will take on a right-hander (Cueto) in this game and have a 9-11 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Reds will be the right-hander Teheran. They sport a 10-9 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner – CIN, O/U – Over
Notes
When the Reds play into extra innings, they have a 1-3 record. The Braves are 0-1 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Reds are coming off of a hot pitching game where they recorded 10 strikeouts. The Braves have a record of 0-3 when they are struck out that many times or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Reds are 7-4. The Braves have an 8-4 record when outhitting opponents.
Both falling in the top half of the league based on total runs this season, Atlanta ranks 13th with 102 runs and Cincinnati is 15th with 100.
Atlanta and Cincinnati both rank in the top 10 of the league in walks. Atlanta sits at seventh with 81 this season and Cincinnati ranks 10th with 78.
When the Braves hit at least one home run, they are 7-7. When the Reds hit at least one homer, they have a 10-7 record.
