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Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Free Pick

Jordan Lyles (2-2, 4.25 ERA) and Robbie Ray (0-0, 0.00 ERA) take the hill in the first of a two-game series between the Colorado Rockies (11-13) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (10-14) at Coors Field. The Rockies come into this series in the midst of a five-game losing streak. Action begins at 8:40 p.m. ET on Tuesday, May. 5 and can be seen on FSN-AZ and ROOT-RM.

Lyles is 1-3 with a 7.07 ERA, 1.91 WHIP, and 14 strikeouts against the Diamondbacks. Nolan Arenado (.314, 14 Rs, 6 HRs, 17 RBIs) had another good game Sunday, going 3 for 5 with two runs, two home runs, and three RBIs. This is the first time Lyles will take the hill this season. He pitched 28.2 innings last season, finishing 1-4 with an 8.16 ERA his last outingPaul Goldschmidt (.356, 19 Rs, 6 HRs, 22 RBIs, 5 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Diamondbacks, going 3 for 5 Sunday.

Colorado is a -139 favorite against Arizona and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at 10 runs. The Rockies have recorded an overall money line of -172 and have shown a weak performance as a favorite this season with a record of 3-5. Colorado has had a discouraging season against division opponents, earning records of 2-3 and 7-11 as the favorite and SU respectively. The Rockies have seen a decline in scoring against teams inside their division, averaging 3.6 runs per game. They average 4.1 runs per game on the season. The Rockies lead the NL in hits with an impressive 9.5 per game. Colorado’s pitchers fall apart when division rivals are on the field. Its average runs allowed per game rises to 6.1 against fellow NL West members, compared to its 5.5 season average.

In the other locker room, Arizona is coming in with an overall money line of -250 and a disappointing record of 6-11 as the underdog. They have been on a bit of a dry streak over their last 10 games. They managed a 0-6 record when playing as the underdog. Offensively, they average 4.2 runs per game, which is good for fifth in the NL. The Diamondbacks are tough outs for opponents, ranking fifth in the NL with 9.0 hits per road game.

The Diamondbacks lead the season series, 2-1. The Rockies have a 10-12 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Ray takes the mound. Lyles (RHP) will be on the hill against the Diamondbacks, who have a 7-10 record against right-handed starting pitchers.

Predictions: SU Winner – COL, O/U – Over

Notes

The Diamondbacks lost their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Rockies are 4-3. The Diamondbacks are 3-5 in close games this season.

When the Diamondbacks play into extra innings, they have a 2-1 record. The Rockies are 1-2 when their games exceed nine innings.

Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Diamondbacks are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Rockies have a 2-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.

When they outhit their opponents, the Diamondbacks are 6-2. The Rockies have a 10-2 record when outhitting opponents.

Both falling in the bottom half of the league based on total runs this season, Colorado ranks 19th with 99 runs and Arizona is 17th with 100.

Ranking 28th, Colorado is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 50 this season. Arizona ranks in the bottom half at 18th with 70.

When the Rockies hit at least one home run, they are 8-8. When the Diamondbacks hit at least one homer, they have an 8-3 record.

Written by GMS Previews

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