Miguel Gonzalez (3-1, 2.59 ERA) gets the start for the Baltimore Orioles (12-14) as they meet Adam Warren (2-1, 4.78 ERA) and the New York Yankees (18-11) in the second of a four-game series at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees won the last game 4-3 and New York leads the series 1-0. The game starts at 7:05 p.m. ET on Friday, May. 8 and will air on MASN and YES.
Warren is 1-2 with an 8.18 ERA against the Orioles in his career, and faces a strong Baltimore offense that’s hitting .270 on the year. Brett Gardner (.318, 20 Rs, 2 HRs, 13 RBIs, 8 SBs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 4 with two runs. In his career against the Yankees, Gonzalez is 3-3 with a 3.62 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, and 55 strikeouts. Jimmy Paredes (.339, 13 Rs, 4 HRs, 12 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 2 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
New York is a -125 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is eight runs. The Yankees perform well as a favorite with an 8-5 record and have an overall money line of +611. They are 4-1 as the favorite over their last 10 games. The Yankees rank third in the majors in extra base hits with 97. They have been very patient at the plate, ranking second in the AL with an average of 3.6 walks per game. As for the pitching staff, the Yankees don’t give up many walks to opposing batters, ranking fifth in the AL with only 2.7 walks allowed per game. An area where the Yankees are particularly strong is striking batters out, where they average 8.8 K’s per game.
Moving on to the away team, the Orioles come into this game with a weak win percentage of .333 when playing as the underdog (4-8) and an overall money line of -79. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 5-5 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with a 1-4 record.
The Yankees will take on a right-hander (Gonzalez) in this game. They have excelled against right-handed starting pitchers this season, going 12-7. The right-handed Warren will take the mound against the Orioles, who have a 10-11 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner – NYY, O/U – Over
Notes
In their last game, the Orioles lost by a margin of one run. The Yankees are 6-4 in one-run games. The Orioles have a 3-5 record in close games.
The Yankees managed to give up four walks in their last game. They’ll have to pick it up against the Orioles who are coming in with a 5-3 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Orioles are 0-8. The Yankees have a 3-9 record when opponents outhit them.
Baltimore ranks in the top 10 of the league at sixth when it comes to home runs, hitting 34 this season. New York ranks in the top five at fourth with 35.
Ranking seventh, New York is in the top 10 of the league in hits, notching 8.39 per game. Baltimore ranks in the top five at fourth with 9.20.
Ranking ninth, New York is in the top 10 of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.740). Baltimore ranks in the top five at third with an OPS of .771.
When the Orioles allow at least one home run, they are 7-9. When the Yankees allow one or more homers, they have a 10-7 record.
