This game could be low scoring as Madison Bumgarner (3-1, 3.03 ERA) and the San Francisco Giants (15-15) go up against David Phelps (1-0, 3.24 ERA) and the Miami Marlins (14-16) in the third of a four-game series at AT&T Park. The Giants won the last game 6-0 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game gets underway at 9:05 p.m. ET on Saturday, May. 9 and will air on FSN-FL and NBC Bay Area.
Bumgarner is 1-2 with a 4.34 ERA against the Marlins in his career, and is up against a strong Miami offense that’s hitting .271 on the year. Justin Maxwell (.253, 9 Rs, 3 HRs, 14 RBIs, 1 SB) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 3 with one run and two RBIs. The Marlins were unsuccessful to the Nationals 6-4 the last time Phelps pitched. He went 6.1 innings, giving up two runs, striking out four and walking three. Dee Gordon (.437, 18 Rs, 12 RBIs, 12 SBs) has been doing well offensively for the Marlins, going 3 for 5 yesterday with one run and one RBI.
San Francisco is a -175 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at six runs. The Giants have a losing record of 6-9 when playing as the favorite and an overall money line of -214. Don’t expect the San Francisco hitters to swing wildly. They average only 6.8 strikeouts per game.
Across the field, the Marlins have a record of 6-7 when they are the underdog and are -214 overall with the money line. One of the top hitting teams in the NL are the Marlins, who average 9.3 hits per game. The Marlins are one of the top pitching staffs in the NL, essentially shutting down opponents to the tune of 3.9 runs allowed per game.
This game will feature Phelps (RHP) on the mound against the Giants, who have an 8-13 record when they take on a right-handed starter.
Predictions: SU Winner – SF, O/U – Over
Notes
When leading after 7 innings, Miami is 6-9, while San Francisco is 2-5.
The Giants managed to give up four walks in their last game. They’ll have to pick it up against the Marlins who are coming in with an 8-3 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Marlins are 1-8. The Giants have a 3-10 record when opponents outhit them.
Both falling near the bottom of the league based on total home runs this season, San Francisco ranks 26th with 20 homers and Miami is 28th with 17.
Ranking eighth, San Francisco is in the top 10 of the league in hits, notching 8.62 per game. Miami ranks in the top five at fourth with 9.34.
Ranking 20th, San Francisco is in the bottom half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.695). Miami ranks in the top half at 15th with an OPS of .704.
When the Marlins allow at least one home run, they are 7-10. When the Giants allow one or more homers, they have a 5-9 record.
