The Golden State Warriors and their second-ranked offense visit Memphis to take on the Grizzlies and their top-ranked defense in Game 4 of the Western Conference Semifinals. Action begins at 9:30 pm ET on Monday, May 11 and can be seen on TNT.
The Grizzlies enter this game hoping for similar success after topping the Warriors 97-90 in their last matchup. Mike Conley was the game’s leading scorer with 22 points on 8-for-12 shooting. Andrew Bogut had a good game for Golden State, accounting for eight points, 12 rebounds, and two assists.
Baskets could be hard to come by as Memphis ranks second in the league, allowing just 99.6 points per 100 possessions, while Golden State is first (98.6). Also, the Warriors’s second-ranked offense (offensive efficiency of 108.6) will face off against the second-ranked defense of the Grizzlies (defensive efficiency of 99.6).
The odds for Memphis and Golden State are even, while the Over/Under (O/U) is currently not available. The Grizzlies have gone 55-27 Straight Up (SU) and 40-40-2 Against The Spread (ATS). They are 35-17 SU and 26-26 ATS against the Western Conference.
Over on the other bench, the Warriors have a record of 47-34-1 ATS and 67-15 SU. Against the Western Conference, Golden State is 42-10 SU and 32-20 ATS. The Warriors rely heavily on three-pointers on offense, ranking second in the league with 883 made (10.8 per game). The Warriors are the better of the two teams when it comes to assist-to-turnover ratio, ranking second in the NBA at 1.94. The Warriors are a problem for teams on the defensive side, allowing only .337 shooting from three-point range to their opponents. Blocking shots is an area where Golden State has excelled. The Warriors average 6.0 blocks per game, making them one of the best in the league. Golden State is the best team in the league at scoring points off turnovers with 19.5 per game.
In their previous meeting this season, Memphis beat Golden State, bringing the head-to-head record to an even 5-5 SU over the last 10 meetings. With a 6-4 record, the Grizzlies have the advantage ATS. Golden State held the advantage in field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers twice in the last 10 matchups. On the other side of the court, Memphis never accomplished this feat in that span.
Predictions: SU Winner – GS, ATS Winner – GS
Notes
Golden State’s offense and Memphis’ defense are well matched, ranking zeroth in points per game and points allowed per game respectively. Golden State puts up an average of 0.0 points per game, while Memphis gives up 0.0 points per game.
Golden State and Memphis are well matched, ranking zeroth in points per away game and points allowed at home respectively. Golden State puts up an average of 0.0 points on the road, while Memphis allows 0.0 points at home on average.
Golden State is undefeated when limiting opponents to fewer than 100 points (40-0). Memphis has a 22-24 record when it scores less than 100.
The Warriors have a 27-15 record when they allow at least 100 points. The Grizzlies have also performed well when they register triple digits with a record of 33-3 in such contests.
Golden State’s offense and Memphis’ defense both rank second this season. Golden State has an offensive rating of 108.6 and Memphis has a defensive rating of 99.6.
Memphis has an average field goal percentage of 45.8%, eighth-ranked in the NBA. Golden State is a winning 14-9 when opponents have a similar or higher field goal percentage.
The Memphis Grizzlies rank higher in field goal percentage (eighth) than effective field goal percentage (20th), while the Golden State Warriors rank the same for both metrics (first).
The Golden State Warriors are among the best in the league with an assist to turnover ratio of 1.94 (ranked second). Ranking 11th, the Memphis Grizzlies have an A/TO of 1.67.
The Grizzlies rank 21st in rebounds per game with 42.6, while the Warriors rank sixth with 44.7 per game.
The Golden State Warriors rank 23rd in offensive rebounding, while the Memphis Grizzlies rank 15th in defensive rebounding.
On average, the Grizzlies force a turnover rate of 15.3%, ranked sixth in the NBA. When the Warriors turn over the ball at a similar or higher rate, the team has a dazzling 17-5 record.
