Zack Greinke (5-0, 1.56 ERA) is on the hill for the Los Angeles Dodgers (20-10) as they square off against Tom Koehler (2-3, 5.18 ERA) and the Miami Marlins (15-17) in the first of a three-game series at Dodger Stadium. Action begins at 10:10 p.m. ET on Monday, May. 11 and can be seen on FSN-FL and SportsNet LA.
Greinke is 3-0 with a 3.97 ERA in his appearances against the Marlins, and goes up against a good Miami offense which is batting .268 this season. Adrian Gonzalez (.377, 24 Rs, 9 HRs, 29 RBIs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run and four RBIs. Koehler is 1-2 with a 3.45 ERA against the Dodgers in his career. He takes on a quality Los Angeles offense that’s batting .263. Dee Gordon (.439, 18 Rs, 12 RBIs, 12 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Marlins, going 2 for 4 yesterday.
This one isn’t expected to be close when Los Angeles, a big -190 favorite, takes on Miami. The Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at seven runs for this matchup. The Dodgers have recorded an overall money line of +506 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 17-9. The Dodgers have no trouble scoring as they lead the NL in home offense with 5.6 runs per home game. The Dodgers lead the MLB in home runs with 48. Los Angeles leads the whole NL in walks, earning an average of 3.9 per game. As for the pitchers, the Dodgers are the fourth-best team in the league at limiting hits and walks to their opponents, recording a WHIP of 1.14 so far this season. Opponents have consistently been struck out by the Dodgers, who lead the NL in strikeouts per game with 8.9.
In games where it is the underdog, Miami has a 7-8 record and an overall money line of -172.
The Dodgers have a great 12-1 record at home (18-8 overall) against right-handed starting pitchers, which is what they’ll be facing when Koehler takes the mound. Greinke (RHP) will be on the hill against the Marlins, who have a 10-15 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – LAD, O/U – Over
Notes
When leading after 7 innings, Los Angeles is 6-4, while Miami is 6-9.
The Dodgers managed to give up four walks in their last game. They’ll have to pick it up against the Marlins who are coming in with a 9-3 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Marlins are 2-9. The Dodgers have a 2-6 record when opponents outhit them.
Los Angeles ranks at the top of the league when it comes to home runs with 48 this season. Miami ranks near the bottom at 29th with 18.
Ranking seventh, Los Angeles is in the top 10 of the league in hits, notching 8.69 per game. Miami ranks in the top five at fourth with 9.10.
Los Angeles ranks at the top of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage of .830. Miami ranks in the bottom half at 18th with an OPS of .701.
When the Marlins allow at least one home run, they are 7-10. When the Dodgers allow one or more homers, they have a 10-7 record.
