The Atlanta Hawks host Game 5 of the Eastern Conference Semifinals against the Washington Wizards at Philips Arena. Action begins at 8:00 pm ET on Wednesday, May 13 and can be seen on TNT.
The Hawks are hoping for a better outcome after their 103-101 loss to the Wizards on Saturday. Dennis Schroder was the game’s leading scorer with 18 points. Nene Hilario played well for Washington, registering 17 points, seven rebounds, and four assists.
From an effective field goal percentage perspective, this will be a matchup of two heavyweights. Atlanta’s upper-echelon offense is ranked third in the league in that metric at 52.7%, while Washington is fifth-best in the NBA at making opponents miss (48.1%).
The odds for Atlanta and Washington are even, while the Over/Under (O/U) is currently unavailable. The Hawks come into this game 60-22 Straight Up (SU) and 49-32-1 Against The Spread (ATS). They are 12-4 SU and 9-6-1 ATS against divisional opponents. The Hawks are one of the best in the NBA in terms of three-point field goals, making 10.0 shots per game from beyond the arc. Atlanta is one of the most disciplined teams in the league with an assist-to-turnover ratio of 1.91. Atlanta’s defenders rank fifth in the NBA in steals with 9.1 per game. Atlanta is one of the league’s top scoring teams off turnovers with an average of 18.2 points per game.
As for their opponent, the Wizards have 46-36 SU and 33-47-2 ATS records. Despite having a winning record against its own division, Washington is unsuccessful ATS in those games with a record of 4-11-1.
The Wizards’ win over Atlanta in their last clash brought the head-to-head record to an even 5-5 SU over the last 10 meetings. On the other hand, the Hawks hold the advantage ATS with a record of 5-4-1. Over the last 10 matchups, Atlanta held the advantage in field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers twice. Washington performed this feat once.
Predictions: SU Winner – ATL, ATS Winner – ATL
Notes
Atlanta is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home.
Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home.
Atlanta is 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games, when playing Washington.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Atlanta’s last 8 games when playing at home against Washington.
Atlanta is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Washington.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington’s last 8 games when playing on the road against Atlanta.
Atlanta’s offense and Washington’s defense are well matched when it comes to scoring. Atlanta puts up 0.0 points per game (ranked zeroth). Washington allows 0.0 points per game, which is also ranked zeroth.
Atlanta and Washington are well matched, ranking zeroth in points per home game and points allowed per away game respectively. Atlanta scores an average of 0.0 points per home game, while Washington allows 0.0 points per away game on average.
In its last game, Washington won by a margin of two points. Atlanta is 6-4 in games decided by three points or less. Washington has a 9-4 record in close games.
The Wizards have a 39-10 record when they allow fewer than 100 points. The Hawks, however, have performed well when they score under 100 points, with a record of 20-13 in such matchups.
When allowing 100 or more points in a game, the Wizards are just 7-26 this season. Atlanta is a superb 40-9 when registering triple digits.
The Wizards have an offensive rating of 101.1 (ranked 22nd), while the Hawks rank eighth for their defensive rating of 100.7.
The Atlanta Hawks have one of the best field goal percentages this season, ranking fourth in the league with a FG% of 46.6%. When their opponents record a similar or higher FG%, the Washington Wizards have a poor 6-16 record.
On average, Atlanta attempts 26.2 three pointers and Washington attempts 16.8 per game. In games where the teams have 25 or more three point attempts, the Hawks have a winning 38-15 record while the Wizards are even at 3-3.
The Atlanta Hawks are among the best in the league with an assist to turnover ratio of 1.91 (ranked third). Ranking 11th, the Washington Wizards have an A/TO of 1.67.
The Atlanta Hawks are one of the worst rebounding teams in the league with just 40.6 per game. The Washington Wizards average 44.7 rebounds (ranked eighth).
Atlanta is ranked 22nd in defensive rebounds, while Washington ranks 19th in offensive rebounds.
Atlanta is among the best in forcing turnovers, with opponents averaging a TOV% of 16.0% (ranked third). Washington has a 13-15 record SU when its TOV% reaches 16.0% or greater.