Mark Buehrle (4-2, 6.00 ERA) and the Toronto Blue Jays (16-17) are in Baltimore to go up against Chris Tillman (2-4, 6.25 ERA) and the Orioles (14-16) in a game that could be high scoring. This is the second of a three-game series at Camden Yards. The Orioles won the last game 5-2 and Baltimore leads the series 1-0. The game starts at 7:05 p.m. ET on Tuesday, May. 12 and will air on RSN and MASN.
Tillman is 4-8 with a 5.12 ERA against the Blue Jays in his career, and is up against a solid Toronto offense that’s hitting .261 on the year. Jimmy Paredes (.362, 16 Rs, 5 HRs, 15 RBIs, 1 SB) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 4. In his pitching opportunities against the Orioles, Buehrle is 10-10 with a 3.58 ERA. He gets a strong Baltimore offense that’s batting .269. Josh Donaldson (.315, 25 Rs, 7 HRs, 21 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
Baltimore, a -123 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Toronto. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is set at eight runs. The Orioles perform well as a favorite with an 8-5 record, but haven’t fared as well with the overall money line (-276). They have an SU record of 12-14 against teams in their division and a 7-5 record when they were the favorite in those games. The Orioles will be looking to pick it up in this one after recent offensive struggles. In the last 10 games, Baltimore has only averaged 3.4 runs per game compared to the 4.8 they’ve averaged on the season. The Orioles come into the game with the third-ranked scoring offense in the AL, averaging 4.8 runs per game. The Orioles are an exceptional hitting team with an AL-best 10.4 hits per home game. Baltimore’s pitching staff has put it all together in the past 10 games. Its average runs allowed per game dropped to 3.1 during that span, compared to its 4.6 season average.
On the other side, the Blue Jays have a subpar record of 6-10 when they are the underdog and are -116 overall with the money line. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 6-4 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with a 1-3 record. The Blue Jays are the number one overall scoring offense in the AL, averaging 5.4 runs per game so far. The Blue Jays are known for their bats, hitting 112 extra base hits.
The Blue Jays have gotten the best of the Orioles in head-to-head matchups this season, going 5-2. The right-handed Tillman will take the mound against the Blue Jays, who have an 11-15 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner – TOR, O/U – Over
Notes
When leading after 7 innings, Toronto is 7-4, while Baltimore is 5-5.
The Orioles are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Blue Jays have a 4-7 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Orioles are 0-8. The Blue Jays have a 2-13 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking sixth in home runs, Toronto has hit 37 this season. Baltimore ranks fourth with 41 home runs.
Ranking sixth, Toronto is in the top 10 of the league in hits, notching 8.72 per game. Baltimore ranks in the top five at fourth with 9.07.
Baltimore and Toronto both rank in the top five of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Baltimore sits at third with an OPS of .773 and Toronto ranks fourth with an OPS of .763.
The Blue Jays are 9-13 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Orioles are 7-11 when they allow at least one homer.
