Miguel Gonzalez (3-2, 3.57 ERA) and Aaron Sanchez (3-2, 3.62 ERA) are on the hill in the last of a three-game series between the Baltimore Orioles (14-17) and the Toronto Blue Jays (17-17) at Camden Yards. The Blue Jays won the last game 10-2 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 7:05 p.m. ET on Wednesday, May. 13 and can be seen on RSN and MASN2.
Gonzalez is 6-2 with a 2.64 ERA in his appearances against the Blue Jays, but goes up against a quality Toronto offense which is batting .263 this season. Jimmy Paredes (.357, 16 Rs, 5 HRs, 17 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday with two RBIs. Sanchez is 1-1 with a 4.72 ERA against the Orioles in his career. He is up against a good Baltimore offense that’s batting .265. Josh Donaldson (.319, 27 Rs, 8 HRs, 24 RBIs, 2 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Blue Jays, going 2 for 5 yesterday with two runs, one home run, and three RBIs.
Baltimore is a -117 favorite against Toronto and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at nine runs. Though the Orioles have had a tough season in terms of their overall money line (-176), they have done fairly well as a favorite with a record of 9-5. Within its division, Baltimore has an 8-5 record as favorite and a 13-14 record SU. The Orioles have seen a decline in scoring as of late, averaging 3.1 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.8 runs per game. The Orioles have no trouble scoring as they rank fourth in the AL in offense with 4.8 runs per game. The Orioles lead the AL in hits at home with a phenomenal 10.2 per game. Baltimore’s pitching staff has been doing better against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, only allowing an average of 3.1 runs per game, well under their season average of 4.5.
Over in the other dugout, Toronto is coming in with an overall money line of -216 and a disappointing record of 6-11 as the underdog. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 1-4 record, and a 5-5 record SU. Offensively, they average 5.3 runs per game, which is tops in the AL. The Blue Jays have a dynamic offense, ranking second in the league with 116 extra base hits.
The Blue Jays have controlled the season series, 6-2. The Orioles have a 12-14 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Sanchez takes the mound. Gonzalez (RHP) will be on the hill against the Blue Jays, who have an 11-16 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – TOR, O/U – Over
Notes
For the fifth time this season, the Orioles registered at least two errors in a game.
Neither the Orioles nor the Blue Jays have lost a game in extra innings, both going 1-0 in such matchups.
The Blue Jays are coming into this meeting after a high-scoring game where they scored an impressive 10 runs. The Orioles have a 0-4 record when opponents score that many runs or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Orioles are 12-5. The Blue Jays have a 15-2 record when outhitting opponents.
Toronto tops the league in runs with 184 this season. Baltimore ranks in the top 10 at 10th with 145.
Ranking 27th, Baltimore is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 76 this season. Toronto ranks in the top 10 at eighth with 111.
When the Orioles hit at least one home run, they are 13-10. When the Blue Jays hit at least one homer, they have a 14-7 record.