Roenis Elias (0-1, 3.86 ERA) and Odrisamer Despaigne (2-1, 5.13 ERA) start in the second of a two-game series between the Seattle Mariners (15-17) and the San Diego Padres (17-17) at Safeco Field. The Mariners won the last game 11-4 and Seattle leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 10:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, May. 13 and can be seen on FSN-SD and ROOT-NW.
Elias pitched 7.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering three runs, striking out five and walking one in a 4-3 defeat to the Angels. Nelson Cruz (.349, 23 Rs, 15 HRs, 29 RBIs, 1 SB) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 4 with two runs, one home run, and two RBIs. Despaigne went 5.0 innings, surrendering eight runs, striking out one and walking one in an 11-0 defeat to the Diamondbacks in his most recent start.
San Diego is a slim -115 favorite over Seattle. According to the oddsmakers, the Over/Under (O/U) is currently seven runs. The Mariners have recorded an overall money line of -644 and have shown a weak performance as an underdog this season with a record of 3-6. Seattle has recorded a disappointing 1-3 record as the underdog over its last 10 games. Seattle’s pitchers fall apart when National League teams are on the field. Its average runs allowed per game rises to 5.7 against NL teams, compared to its 4.4 season average. Opponents have consistently been struck out by the Mariners, who lead the AL in strikeouts per home game with 9.5.
As for their opponent, in contrast to a worrisome overall money line (-5), San Diego has an impressive 10-6 record when playing as the favorite. They played solid baseball as the favorite over their last 10 games with a 4-1 record, and a 6-4 record SU. Offensively, the Padres have really sputtered in interleague games. They have decreased their season average of 4.6 runs per game by averaging 3.0 in those contests. The Padres have a dynamic offense, ranking fifth in the league with 102 extra base hits. The Padres allow 4.5 runs per game, but does worse whenever an AL opponent is on the schedule. They bring that runs allowed average up to 10.0 against teams from the AL.
The Mariners have the edge in the season series, 1-0. The Mariners have an 11-12 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Despaigne takes the mound. Elias (LHP) will be on the hill against the Padres, who have a very good 6-3 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – SD, O/U – Over
Notes
The Mariners are 3-3 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Padres are 1-2 in such matchups.
The Padres managed to give up four walks in their last game. They’ll have to pick it up against the Mariners who are heading in with a 5-3 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Padres are 1-14. The Mariners have a 6-10 record when opponents outhit them.
San Diego ranks in the bottom half of the league at 16th when it comes to home runs, hitting 29 this season. Seattle ranks in the top five at fourth with 42.
Ranking 11th, Seattle is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.97 per game. San Diego ranks in the top five at fifth with 8.91.
Ranking 16th, San Diego is in the bottom half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.705). Seattle ranks in the top half at 14th with an OPS of .717.
The Padres are 10-14 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Mariners are 7-13 when they allow at least one homer.
