Jason Marquis (3-2, 5.66 ERA) and Madison Bumgarner (3-2, 3.30 ERA) are on the hill in the second of a four-game series between the Cincinnati Reds (18-17) and the San Francisco Giants (17-18) at the Great American Ball Park. The Reds won the last game 4-3 and Cincinnati leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Friday, May. 15 and can be seen on CSN-BAY and FSN-OH.
Marquis is 7-5 with a 2.95 ERA in his appearances against the Giants, but goes up against a quality San Francisco offense which is batting .259 this season. Todd Frazier (.242, 25 Rs, 12 HRs, 23 RBIs, 6 SBs) went 1 for 2 yesterday with one run and one stolen base. Bumgarner is 2-3 with a 4.66 ERA when pitching against the Reds. He is up against a below-average Cincinnati offense which is hitting just .238 this season. Buster Posey (.289, 15 Rs, 5 HRs, 15 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one RBI.
San Francisco takes on Cincinnati as a -152 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at seven runs. The Reds have an overall money line of +38 and a record as the underdog of 8-11. Cincinnati leads the MLB in steals, swiping 43 bases.
In games where it is the favorite, San Francisco has a 8-10 record and an overall money line of -122. San Francisco is excellent at drawing walks with 3.3 per road game, ranking fifth in the NL.
The Reds have the edge in the season series, 1-0. The Reds have a 4-5 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Bumgarner takes the mound. Marquis (RHP) will be on the hill against the Giants, who have an 11-14 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – CIN, O/U – Over
Notes
When leading after 7 innings, Cincinnati is 6-7, while San Francisco is 2-5.
The Reds managed to give up four walks in their last game. They’ll have to pick it up against the Giants who are coming in with a 6-6 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
It looks like the Reds have a slight leg up on the Giants, as the Reds have won their last three games while the Giants have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Reds are 11-4. The Giants have a 13-4 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 28th, San Francisco sits near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 115 this season. Cincinnati ranks in the bottom half at 19th with 141.
Ranking 14th, San Francisco is in the top half of the league in walks, notching 109 this season. Cincinnati ranks in the top five at third with 123.
The Reds are 16-8 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Giants are 9-8 when they hit at least one homer.
