David Phelps (2-0, 2.68 ERA) and the Miami Marlins (16-24) square off against Chase Anderson (0-1, 2.81 ERA) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (17-21) in a game that has the potential to be low scoring. This is the third of a four-game series at Marlins Park. The Marlins lost the last game 4-2, continuing a five-game losing streak. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, May. 20 and can be seen on FSN-AZ and FSN-FL.
Phelps pitched 6.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering one and striking out eight in a 5-3 defeat to the Braves. Dee Gordon (.403, 22 Rs, 14 RBIs, 12 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run. Anderson is 1-0 with a 3.00 ERA against the Marlins in his career. He is up against a good Miami offense that’s batting .259.
Miami is a -124 favorite against Arizona and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Marlins have recorded an overall money line of -817 and have shown a weak performance as a favorite this season with a record of 8-12. Miami has gone winless in its last 10 as the favorite. The Marlins have seen a decline in scoring as of late, averaging 2.5 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 3.9 runs per game. Turning to the pitchers, the Marlins are the fifth-best team in the NL at limiting walks during home games, allowing only 2.5 walks per game to their opponents this season.
In games where it is the underdog, Arizona has a 10-14 record and an overall money line of -371. The Diamondbacks are tough outs for opponents, leading the NL with 9.5 hits per game. The Diamondbacks are an excellent base stealing team with 29 stolen bases, ranking fifth in the MLB. Arizona’s pitching staff is one of the top in the NL at pitching on the road, with a 3.95 ERA. When it comes to issuing walks on the road, the Diamondbacks have the third-fewest in the NL with an average of just 2.7 walks allowed per game.
The Diamondbacks have the edge in the season series, 2-0. The Marlins have a bad 11-21 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Anderson takes the mound. Phelps (RHP) will be on the hill against the Diamondbacks, who have a 12-16 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – ARI, O/U – Over
Notes
The Diamondbacks are 3-2 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Marlins are 1-1 in such matchups.
The Diamondbacks are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Marlins have a 5-16 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Marlins are 2-15. The Diamondbacks have a 3-15 record when opponents outhit them.
Miami ranks near the bottom of the league at 27th when it comes to home runs, hitting 26 this season. Arizona ranks in the top half at 15th with 34.
Ranking first in hits, Arizona has earned 9.46 per game this season. Miami ranks sixth with 8.85 hits.
Ranking 23rd, Miami is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.684). Arizona ranks in the top 10 at 10th with an OPS of .724.
When the Diamondbacks allow at least one home run, they are 9-16, well-matched with the Marlins who are 8-14 when allowing at least one homer.
