Dan Haren (4-2, 3.47 ERA) and Mike Wright (1-0, 0.00 ERA) take the hill in the second of a three-game series between the Miami Marlins (16-27) and the Baltimore Orioles (19-20) at Marlins Park. The Marlins lost the last game 8-5, continuing an eight-game losing streak. Action begins at 7:15 p.m. ET on Saturday, May. 23 and can be seen on FOX.
Haren is 5-4 with a 3.87 ERA in his appearances against the Orioles, and goes up against a quality Baltimore offense which is batting .261 this season. Dee Gordon (.386, 24 Rs, 14 RBIs, 16 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 5 with one run and four stolen bases. Wright went 7.1 innings, surrendering zero runs and striking out six in a 3-0 win over the Angels in his most recent start. Jimmy Paredes (.353, 19 Rs, 6 HRs, 24 RBIs, 1 SB) has been successful at the plate for the Orioles, going 3 for 5 yesterday with one RBI.
Miami is a -123 favorite against Baltimore and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Marlins have recorded an overall money line of -1,220 and have shown a weak performance as a favorite this season with a record of 8-15. Miami has gone winless in its last 10 as the favorite. The Marlins have seen a decline in scoring as of late, averaging 2.6 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 3.9 runs per game. Miami’s pitching staff has been doing poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 5.6 runs per game, well above its season average of 4.3. The Marlins are the fifth-best team in the NL at limiting walks to their opponents, allowing only 2.7 walks per game so far this season.
As for their opponent, Baltimore is coming in with an overall money line of -271 and a disappointing record of 6-11 as the underdog. Baltimore has had a tough time against interleague opponents, coming in winless. They have a 0-2 record as the underdog and 0-2 SU. Offensively, the Orioles have really sputtered in interleague games. They have decreased their season average of 4.5 runs per game by averaging 1.5 in those contests.
The Orioles have the edge in the season series, 1-0. The Marlins have a bad 11-24 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Wright takes the mound. Haren (RHP) will be on the hill against the Orioles, who have a 15-16 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – BAL, O/U – Over
Notes
The Orioles are 1-0 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Marlins are 1-1 in such matchups.
The Orioles are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Marlins have a 4-10 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Marlins are 2-16. The Orioles have a 2-12 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 27th in home runs, Miami has hit 27 this season. Baltimore ranks eighth with 46 home runs.
Ranking sixth, Miami is in the top 10 of the league in hits, notching 8.74 per game. Baltimore ranks in the top five at fifth with 8.66.
Ranking 23rd, Miami is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.682). Baltimore ranks in the top 10 at sixth with an OPS of .742.
The Orioles are 9-15 when they allow at least one home run. The Marlins perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with an 8-14 record.
