In the last of a four-game series between the Atlanta Braves (21-21) and the Milwaukee Brewers (21-21) at Turner Field, Mike Foltynewicz (2-1, 5.32 ERA) and Jimmy Nelson (2-4, 3.73 ERA) take the mound. The Braves won the last game 3-2 and Atlanta leads the series 2-1. The game gets underway at 1:35 p.m. ET on Sunday, May. 24 and will air on FSN-WI and FSN-S.
In his most recent outing, Foltynewicz pitched 5.0 innings, giving up five runs, striking out seven and walking one in a 5-3 loss to the Rays. Freddie Freeman (.301, 26 Rs, 5 HRs, 22 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one RBI. The Brewers were victorious over the Tigers 8-1 the last time Nelson pitched. He went 8.0 innings, allowing one run, striking out five and walking four. Carlos Gomez (.286, 17 Rs, 4 HRs, 18 RBIs, 5 SBs) has been doing well, going 2 for 5 yesterday with one run.
Oddsmakers have deemed this game an even matchup and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at eight runs. The Braves have one of the most prolific offenses in the entire NL, averaging 4.2 runs per game. They typically aren’t overmatched by pitchers, leading the NL with an average of only 6.3 strikeouts per game. As for the pitching staff, the Braves don’t give up many hits to opposing batters, ranking third in the NL with only 8.3 hits allowed per game.
In their previous three games this season, the Braves have a 2-1 record. This game will feature Nelson (RHP) on the mound against the Braves, who have an 18-19 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The right-handed Foltynewicz will take the mound against the Brewers, who have a 12-21 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner – ATL, O/U – Over
Notes
Atlanta has won 33% (8-16) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Milwaukee has won 39% (7-11) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Braves managed to give up four walks in their last game. They’ll have to pick it up against the Brewers who are coming in with a 4-5 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Braves are 3-15. The Brewers have a 5-23 record when opponents outhit them.
Atlanta ranks near the bottom of the league at 28th when it comes to home runs, hitting 26 this season. Milwaukee ranks in the top 10 at 10th with 43.
Ranking 15th, Milwaukee is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.56 per game. Atlanta ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 8.37.
Ranking 26th, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.671). Atlanta ranks in the bottom half at 20th with an OPS of .692.
When the Brewers allow at least one home run, they are 9-20, well-matched with the Braves who are 6-15 when allowing at least one homer.
