Noah Syndergaard (2-2, 1.82 ERA) gets the start for the New York Mets (29-23) as they meet Ian Kennedy (2-5, 7.15 ERA) and the San Diego Padres (25-28) in the second of a three-game series at Petco Park. The Mets won the last game 7-0 and New York leads the series 1-0. The game gets underway at 10:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Jun. 2 and will air on SNY, FSN-SD and MLB Network.
Kennedy has a 4.66 ERA and a 4-2 record in his career against the Mets, but faces a struggling New York offense that’s hitting just .239 on the year. The Mets were victorious over the Phillies 7-0 the last time Syndergaard pitched. He went 7.1 innings, giving up zero runs and striking out six. Daniel Murphy (.286, 16 Rs, 4 HRs, 29 RBIs, 1 SB) has been doing well, going 4 for 5 yesterday with three runs, one home run, and three RBIs.
San Diego is a +113 underdog in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is six runs. The Padres perform poorly as an underdog with an 11-19 record and have an overall money line of -215.
Switching to the opposing bench, the Mets come into this game with a solid win percentage of .793 when playing as the favorite (23-6) and an overall money line of +448. They have played at the top of their game when rated as favorite recently. They managed a 5-2 record when playing as the favorite and an SU record of 5-5. They have a WHIP of 1.14, best in the MLB.
The only other game between the two teams went New York’s way. The Padres will take on a right-hander (Syndergaard) in this game and have a 17-22 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed Kennedy will take the mound against the Mets, who have a 24-17 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner – NYM, O/U – Over
Notes
San Diego has won 56% (15-12) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, New York has won 65% (15-8) of its games when taking a late lead.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Padres are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Mets have a 5-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they are outhit, the Padres are 4-23. The Mets have a 9-18 record when opponents outhit them.
San Diego ranks near the bottom of the league at 21st when it comes to home runs, hitting 42 this season. New York ranks in the bottom half at 19th with 45.
Ranking 14th, New York is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.73 per game. San Diego ranks in the top 10 at eighth with 8.50.
San Diego and New York both rank near the bottom of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. San Diego sits at 27th with an OPS of .670 and New York ranks 26th with an OPS of .671.
When the Mets allow at least one home run, they are 11-17. When the Padres allow one or more homers, they have a 15-21 record.
