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Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego Padres Prediction and Preview

In the first of a three-game series between the Cincinnati Reds (23-29) and the San Diego Padres (23-29) at the Great American Ball Park, Raisel Iglesias (1-1, 5.11 ERA) and Tyson Ross (2-5, 3.76 ERA) get the ball. The game starts at 7:10 p.m. ET on Friday, Jun. 5 and will air on FSN-SD and FSN-OH.

In his last start, Iglesias pitched 5.2 innings, giving up five runs and striking out eight in an 8-5 loss to the Nationals. Todd Frazier (.270, 34 Rs, 16 HRs, 32 RBIs, 6 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one RBI. In his career against the Reds, Ross is 3-0 with a 0.72 ERA, 0.84 WHIP, and 24 strikeouts. Justin Upton (.300, 35 Rs, 12 HRs, 37 RBIs, 11 SBs) has been doing well offensively for the Padres, going 2 for 3 Wednesday with two runs and one stolen base.

Cincinnati is a small -104 underdog in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at eight runs. The Reds perform poorly as an underdog with a 10-19 record and have an overall money line of -843. They have been a terror on the base paths, leading all of baseball with 54 steals.

Switching to the opposing bench, the Padres come into this game in an interesting position. They have a negative money line (-130) but have won more than 60 percent of games played as the favorite (16-9). The Padres rank fifth in the NL in scoring, averaging 4.3 runs per game.

This game will feature Ross (RHP) on the mound against the Reds, who have a 16-22 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Padres will be the right-hander Iglesias. They sport a 19-23 record against righties.

Predictions: SU Winner – CIN, O/U – Over

Notes

The Padres are 2-2 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Reds are 1-4 in such matchups.

The Padres are coming off of a weak pitching game where they recorded six strikeouts. The Reds have a record of 12-14 when opponents’ pitchers have that many strikeouts or fewer.

When they outhit their opponents, the Reds are 15-7. The Padres have a 20-3 record when outhitting opponents.

Ranking 24th, Cincinnati is near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 205 this season. San Diego ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 239.

Ranking 21st, San Diego is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 136 this season. Cincinnati ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 175.

The Reds are 19-15 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Padres are 18-8 when they hit at least one homer.

Written by GMS Previews

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