Carlos Carrasco (7-4, 3.92 ERA) and Bud Norris (1-4, 9.88 ERA) take the hill in the last of a three-game series between the Cleveland Indians (27-28) and the Baltimore Orioles (25-30) at Progressive Field. The Indians won the last game 2-1 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 1:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Jun. 7 and can be seen on MASN and STO.
Carrasco pitched 7.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering one run, striking out eight and walking two in a 2-1 win over the Royals. Jason Kipnis (.332, 40 Rs, 5 HRs, 27 RBIs, 8 SBs) went 1 for 1 yesterday with one run and one stolen base. When pitching against the Indians, Norris is 2-0 with a 3.46 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, and 14 strikeouts. Adam Jones (.309, 28 Rs, 8 HRs, 29 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
Cleveland is a -156 favorite against Baltimore and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Indians have an overall money line of -660 and a record as the favorite of 16-18. The Indians are one of the best in the MLB in terms of extra base hits with 167. Cleveland leads the whole AL in walks, earning an average of 3.8 per game. Cleveland’s pitching staff has been doing better against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, only allowing an average of 3.0 runs per game, well under their season average of 4.3. Opponents have consistently been struck out by the Indians, who lead the AL in strikeouts per game with 9.6.
In the other locker room, Baltimore is coming in with an overall money line of -479 and a disappointing record of 9-17 as the underdog. Offensively, the Orioles have really sputtered in the last 10 games. They have decreased their season average of 4.1 runs per game by averaging 3.0 during that stretch.
The Indians have a 16-16 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Norris takes the mound. Carrasco (RHP) will be on the hill against the Orioles, who have a 20-23 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – CLE, O/U – Over
Notes
Cleveland has won 47% (9-10) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Baltimore has won 50% (11-11) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Indians are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Orioles have a 14-21 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Indians are 4-22. The Orioles have a 4-20 record when opponents outhit them.
Cleveland ranks in the bottom half of the league at 18th when it comes to home runs, hitting 49 this season. Baltimore ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 60.
Cleveland and Baltimore both rank in the top 10 of the league in hits. Cleveland sits at sixth with 8.57 hits per game and Baltimore ranks 10th with 8.35.
Ranking 15th, Baltimore is in the top half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.708). Cleveland ranks in the top 10 at seventh with an OPS of .731.
The Orioles are 14-21 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Indians are 19-21 when they allow at least one homer.
