Johnny Cueto (3-4, 2.90 ERA) and the Cincinnati Reds (23-31) meet Andrew Cashner (2-8, 4.05 ERA) and the San Diego Padres (29-28) in the last of a three-game series at the Great American Ball Park. The Padres won the last game 9-7 and San Diego leads the series 2-0. The game starts at 1:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Jun. 7 and will air on FSN-SD and FSN-OH.
Cueto is 3-3 with a 4.50 ERA, 48 strikeouts and 14 walks against the Padres in his career. Todd Frazier (.273, 35 Rs, 16 HRs, 35 RBIs, 6 SBs) played well again yesterday, going 3 for 5 with one run and three RBIs. In his career against the Reds, Cashner is 0-1 with a 5.16 ERA, 1.63 WHIP, and 16 strikeouts. Justin Upton (.301, 38 Rs, 12 HRs, 37 RBIs, 11 SBs) went 1 for 2 yesterday with two runs.
Cincinnati, a -170 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against San Diego. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is set at seven runs. The Reds are 13-10 as the favorite and have an overall money line of -843. They have been a terror on the base paths, leading all of baseball with 54 steals.
Across the field, the Padres have a subpar record of 11-19 when they are the underdog and are -30 overall with the money line. They sport the third-ranked offense in the NL, averaging 4.4 runs per game. San Diego is one of the top road hitting teams in the NL with an average of 9.2 hits per contest. The Padres average 3.0 walks per road game, making them one of the most disciplined teams in the NL when they travel.
The previous two games have all gone San Diego’s way. The Reds will take on a right-hander (Cashner) in this game and have a 17-23 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Padres will be the right-hander Cueto. They sport a 20-23 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner – CIN, O/U – Over
Notes
When the Padres play into extra innings, they have a 2-2 record. The Reds are 1-4 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Padres managed to give up six walks in their last game. They’ll have to pick it up against the Reds who are heading in with a 5-4 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Padres are 5-23. The Reds have a 6-21 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 19th in home runs, San Diego has hit 48 this season. Cincinnati ranks sixth with 60 home runs.
Ranking 12th, Cincinnati is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.00 per game. San Diego ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 8.59.
Ranking 25th, San Diego is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.684). Cincinnati ranks in the top half at 14th with an OPS of .709.
The Padres are 16-21 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Reds are 12-24 when they allow at least one homer.
