Mark Buehrle (7-4, 4.35 ERA) and Dan Haren (6-2, 3.18 ERA) are on the hill in the second of a three-game series between the Toronto Blue Jays (29-30) and the Miami Marlins (24-34) at the Rogers Centre. The Blue Jays won the last game 11-3, continuing a six-game winning streak. Action begins at 7:07 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Jun. 9 and can be seen on FSN-FL and RSN.
Buehrle pitched 9.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering zero runs, striking out two and walking one in an 8-0 win over the Nationals. Josh Donaldson (.310, 47 Rs, 16 HRs, 43 RBIs, 3 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 5 with one run, one home run, and three RBIs. Haren is 8-3 with a 4.99 ERA against the Blue Jays in his career. He takes on a quality Toronto offense that’s batting .267. Giancarlo Stanton (.240, 36 Rs, 19 HRs, 49 RBIs, 4 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Marlins, going 3 for 4 yesterday with two runs, one home run, and two RBIs.
Toronto is a -141 favorite against Miami and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Blue Jays have an overall money line of -381 and a record as the favorite of 17-12. Against the NL, they have a 1-2 record when they were the favorite and 3-3 SU. The Blue Jays have no trouble scoring as they lead the AL in offense with 5.2 runs per game. The Blue Jays are one of the best in the AL in terms of hits at home with a phenomenal 9.2 per game. Toronto’s batters do not strike out very often, with only 7.3 per game. Toronto’s pitching staff has been doing better against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, only allowing an average of 3.3 runs per game, well under their season average of 4.5.
In games where it is the underdog, Miami has a 13-16 record and an overall money line of -1,066. Miami is 3-3 SU against interleague opponents. The Marlins allow 4.2 runs per game, but does worse whenever an AL opponent is on the schedule. They bring that runs allowed average up to 4.8 against teams from the AL.
The Blue Jays have the edge in the season series, 1-0. The Blue Jays have a 20-26 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Haren takes the mound. Buehrle (LHP) will be on the hill against the Marlins, who have very good records against left-handed starting pitchers on the road and overall of 4-2 and 7-4, respectively.
Predictions: SU Winner – TOR, O/U – Over
Notes
When the Marlins play into extra innings, they have a 3-1 record. The Blue Jays are 1-1 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Marlins managed to give up seven walks in their last game. They’ll have to pick it up against the Blue Jays who are heading in with a 3-0 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Marlins are 18-10. The Blue Jays have a 26-5 record when outhitting opponents.
Toronto ranks at the top of the league when it comes to runs with 314 this season. Miami ranks near the bottom at 21st with 224.
Ranking 25th, Miami is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 134 this season. Toronto ranks in the top five at third with 194.
The Blue Jays are 25-15 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Marlins are 14-18 when they hit at least one homer.
