Brett Anderson (2-4, 3.29 ERA) and Jeremy Hellickson (4-3, 4.88 ERA) take the hill in the last of a three-game series between the Los Angeles Dodgers (34-25) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (27-31) at Dodger Stadium. The Dodgers won the last game 3-1 and Los Angeles leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 10:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Jun. 10 and can be seen on FSN-AZ and SportsNet LA.
Anderson is 0-1 with a 3.00 ERA in his appearances against the Diamondbacks, but goes up against a good Arizona offense which is batting .263 this season. Justin Turner (.310, 18 Rs, 5 HRs, 23 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 2 yesterday with one run. Hellickson is 0-1 with a 7.56 ERA against the Dodgers in his career. He takes on a quality Los Angeles offense that’s batting .258. Paul Goldschmidt (.338, 44 Rs, 16 HRs, 47 RBIs, 9 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
Los Angeles is a -174 favorite against Arizona and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Dodgers have an overall money line of -137 and a record as the favorite of 30-22. Los Angeles has had an impressive season against division opponents, earning 22-15 and 22-16 records as the favorite and SU respectively. The Dodgers have no trouble scoring as they rank third in the NL in offense with 4.5 runs per game. The Dodgers are one of the best in the NL in terms of hits at home with an impressive 8.7 per game. Los Angeles leads the whole NL in walks, earning an average of 3.5 per game. Los Angeles’s pitching staff has been doing poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 4.4 runs per game, well above its season average of 3.5. The Dodgers are the fourth-best team in the league at limiting hits and walks to their opponents, recording a WHIP of 1.19 so far this season. Opponents have consistently been struck out by the Dodgers, who lead the NL in strikeouts per home game with 9.4.
In games where it is the underdog, Arizona has a 17-21 record and an overall money line of -61. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 1-3 record, and a 5-5 record SU. The Diamondbacks are an excellent base stealing team with 52 stolen bases, ranking second in the MLB. The Diamondbacks average 4.7 runs allowed per game, but does better whenever another team from the NL West is on the schedule. They bring that runs allowed average down to 4.0 against division foes.
The Dodgers have controlled the season series, 6-2. The Dodgers have a 30-19 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Hellickson takes the mound. Anderson (LHP) will be on the hill against the Diamondbacks, who have a 6-7 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – LAD, O/U – Over
Notes
Los Angeles has won 52% (12-11) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Arizona has won 72% (13-5) of its games when taking a late lead.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Diamondbacks are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Dodgers have a 13-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Dodgers are 5-17. The Diamondbacks have a 7-22 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 13th in home runs, Arizona has hit 54 this season. Los Angeles ranks second with 77 home runs.
Ranking eighth, Los Angeles is in the top 10 of the league in hits, notching 8.53 per game. Arizona ranks in the top five at third with 9.37.
Los Angeles ranks at the top of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage of .775. Arizona ranks in the top half at 11th with an OPS of .721.
When the Diamondbacks allow at least one home run, they are 15-26. When the Dodgers allow one or more homers, they have a 14-17 record.
