Ubaldo Jimenez (3-3, 3.02 ERA) and the Baltimore Orioles (29-30) take on Michael Pineda (7-2, 3.33 ERA) and the New York Yankees (33-26) in a game that has the potential to be low scoring. This is the first of a three-game series at Camden Yards. Action begins at 7:05 p.m. ET on Friday, Jun. 12 and can be seen on YES and MASN.
Jimenez is 2-4 with a 5.50 ERA, 1.75 WHIP, and 32 strikeouts against the Yankees. Adam Jones (.311, 32 Rs, 10 HRs, 32 RBIs, 3 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 3 with two runs, one home run, and one RBI. Against the Orioles, Pineda is 3-0 with a 2.56 ERA, 0.88 WHIP, and 50 strikeouts. Mark Teixeira (.245, 30 Rs, 17 HRs, 45 RBIs, 1 SB) has been successful at the plate for the Yankees, going 2 for 3 Wednesday.
New York is a narrow -114 favorite over Baltimore. The matchup has an estimated Over/Under (O/U) of eight runs. The Orioles have recorded an overall money line of -203 and have shown a weak performance as an underdog this season with a record of 11-18. Within its division, Baltimore has an 11-8 as the underdog and a 17-17 SU. The Orioles have seen an uptick in scoring against teams inside their division, averaging 4.5 runs per game. They average 4.1 runs per game on the season. Baltimore’s pitchers fall apart when division rivals are on the field. Its average runs allowed per game rises to 4.4 against fellow AL East members, compared to its 4.0 season average.
Over in the other dugout, New York is coming in with an overall money line of +436 and an impressive record of 18-12 as the favorite. They played solid baseball as the favorite over their last 10 games with a 4-1 record, and an 8-2 record SU. The Yankees have a dynamic offense, ranking fourth in the league with 185 extra base hits. New York is excellent at drawing walks with 3.1 per game, ranking fourth in the AL. The Yankees allow 4.1 runs per game, but have improved upon those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 2.9 runs per game during that span. When it comes to issuing walks, the Yankees have the third-fewest in the AL with an average of just 2.7 walks allowed per game. The Yankees have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an AL-best 8.6 strikeouts per game, making them one of the top five teams in the league.
The Yankees lead the season series, 4-3. The Orioles have a 22-24 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Pineda takes the mound. Jimenez (RHP) will be on the hill against the Yankees, who have a 24-19 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – NYY, O/U – Over
Notes
The Yankees lost their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Orioles are 10-9. The Yankees are 8-9 in close games this season.
When the Orioles play into extra innings, they have a 1-1 record. The Yankees are 1-4 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Yankees are coming off of a weak pitching game where they recorded six strikeouts. The Orioles have a record of 10-10 when opponents’ pitchers have that many strikeouts or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Orioles are 22-6. The Yankees have a 21-3 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 18th, Baltimore is in the bottom half of the league in runs, scoring 242 this season. New York ranks in the top five at second with 275.
Ranking 23rd, Baltimore is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 142 this season. New York ranks in the top half at 11th with 186.
The Orioles are 23-15 when they hit at least one home run. The Yankees perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 29-14 record.
