Madison Bumgarner (7-2, 3.38 ERA) and the San Francisco Giants (34-27) go up against Chase Anderson (1-1, 3.12 ERA) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (27-32) in the first of a three-game division series at AT&T Park. The game gets underway at 10:15 p.m. ET on Friday, Jun. 12 and will air on FSN-AZ and NBC Bay Area.
Bumgarner has a 2.76 ERA and a 7-4 record in his career against the Diamondbacks, but faces a solid Arizona offense that’s hitting .263 on the year. Brandon Crawford (.287, 30 Rs, 9 HRs, 40 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and two RBIs. The Diamondbacks were unsuccessful to the Mets 2-1 the last time Anderson pitched. He went 5.2 innings, allowing one run, striking out six and walking one. Paul Goldschmidt (.349, 46 Rs, 17 HRs, 49 RBIs, 9 SBs) has been doing well offensively for the Diamondbacks, going 4 for 5 Wednesday with two runs, one home run, and two RBIs.
San Francisco is a heavy -204 favorite at home and the Over/Under (O/U) for this matchup is set at six runs. The Giants are 16-16 as the favorite and have an overall money line of +566. They have an SU record of 16-16 against teams in their division and a 4-10 record when they were the favorite in those games. Division games have been tough for the Giants. San Francisco has only averaged 3.5 runs per game compared to its 4.2 season average. The Giants are a stellar hitting team with an NL-best 9.6 hits per game. They typically aren’t overmatched by pitchers, leading the NL with an average of only 6.2 strikeouts per home game. San Francisco’s pitching staff has fallen apart in the past 10 games. Its average runs allowed per game rose to 5.1 during that span, compared to its 4.0 season average.
Switching gears, the Diamondbacks come into this game with a win percentage of .425 when playing as the underdog (17-23) and an overall money line of -261. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 4-6 SU and have a poor 0-5 record when they were an underdog to win. The Diamondbacks have racked up 53 steals on the year, making them one of the most threatening base-running teams in the league. Arizona’s pitching staff tends to perform well when they play division rivals. They’ve allowed an average of 4.1 runs per game against teams from the NL West, lower than their season average of 4.7.
The Diamondbacks have gotten the better of the Giants in head-to-head matchups this season, going 4-3. The Giants will take on a right-hander (Anderson) in this game and have a 26-22 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The left-handed Bumgarner will take the mound against the Diamondbacks, who have a 6-8 record against lefty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner – SF, O/U – Over
Notes
The Diamondbacks lost their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Giants are 11-7. The Diamondbacks are 11-11 in close games this season.
When the Giants play into extra innings, they have a 3-1 record. The Diamondbacks are 4-4 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Diamondbacks managed to give up five walks in their last game. They’ll have to pick it up against the Giants who are heading in with a 5-3 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Diamondbacks are 17-7. The Giants have a 29-5 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking ninth in runs, San Francisco has earned 256 this season. Arizona ranks third with 274 runs.
Ranking 16th, San Francisco is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 176 this season. Arizona ranks in the top half at 15th with 177.
The Giants are 23-11 when they hit at least one home run. The Diamondbacks perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 21-13 record.
