Noah Syndergaard (2-4, 4.15 ERA) and the New York Mets (33-30) go up against Mike Foltynewicz (3-2, 4.72 ERA) and the Atlanta Braves (30-32) in the last of a three-game division series at Citi Field. The Braves won the last game 5-3 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game starts at 1:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Jun. 14 and will air on FSN-S and SNY.
In his most recent outing, Syndergaard pitched 6.0 innings, giving up four runs, striking out two and walking one in a 5-0 loss to the Giants. Lucas Duda (.275, 33 Rs, 9 HRs, 28 RBIs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one RBI. In his pitching opportunities against the Mets, Foltynewicz is 0-0 with an 11.57 ERA, zero strikeouts and zero walks. Freddie Freeman (.307, 40 Rs, 12 HRs, 39 RBIs, 2 SBs) has been doing well offensively for the Braves, going 2 for 6 yesterday with one run, one home run, and two RBIs.
New York, a -125 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Atlanta. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is set at seven runs. The Mets have a winning record of 27-8 when playing as the favorite and an overall money line of +279. They have performed well against their division to earn an SU record of 22-11 and an 18-5 record when they were the favorite. New York’s pitching staff will be looking to pick it up in this one after recent struggles. The Mets have given up an average of 4.8 runs to opponents in their last 10 games, above their season average of 3.8 runs per game. The Mets don’t allow many hitters to get on base, ranking second in the league with a 1.19 WHIP.
On the other side, the Braves have a record of 20-26 when they are the underdog and are +145 overall with the money line. They have played poorly as the underdog as of late. They managed a 2-6 record when playing as the underdog and an SU record of 3-7. The Braves average just 6.7 strikeouts per game, good for least in the NL.
The Mets have mostly come out on top against the Braves in their previous eight games this season, earning a 5-3 record. This game will feature Foltynewicz (RHP) on the mound against the Mets, who have a 28-23 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The right-handed Syndergaard will take the mound against the Braves, who have a 25-28 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner – NYM, O/U – Over
Notes
For the eighth time this season, the Mets registered at least two errors in a game.
When the Mets play into extra innings, they have a 2-1 record. The Braves are 2-3 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Braves are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Mets have a 9-24 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Braves are 23-12. The Mets have a 21-3 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 25th, New York is near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 237 this season. Atlanta ranks in the top 10 at 10th with 262.
Ranking 17th, New York is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 172 this season. Atlanta ranks in the top half at 13th with 189.
The Mets are 22-10 when they hit at least one home run. The Braves perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 19-10 record.
