Chris Tillman (4-7, 5.68 ERA) and the Baltimore Orioles (32-31) meet Jerome Williams (3-6, 5.71 ERA) and the Philadelphia Phillies (22-43) in the second of a two-game interleague series at Camden Yards. The Phillies lost the last game 4-0, extending a seven-game losing streak. The game gets underway at 7:05 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Jun. 16 and will air on CSN-PHI and MASN.
In his last start, Tillman pitched 5.2 innings, allowing four runs, striking out two and walking two in a 6-5 victory over the Red Sox. In his pitching opportunities against the Orioles, Williams is 4-2 with a 4.71 ERA. He gets a strong Baltimore offense that’s batting .256.
Baltimore is a heavy -180 favorite at home and the Over/Under (O/U) for this matchup is set at eight runs. When playing as the favorite, the Orioles have a 19-13 record and overall money line at -4. They are 3-1 as the favorite over their last 10 games. The Orioles come into the game with the fourth-ranked scoring offense in the AL, averaging 4.3 runs per game. As for the pitching staff, the Orioles rank fifth in the NL in ERA with a 3.75 team average. The Orioles don’t give up many walks to opposing batters at Camden Yards, ranking second in the AL with only 2.4 walks allowed per home game.
On the other side, the Phillies have a subpar record of 19-37 when they are the underdog and are -1,608 overall with the money line. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 1-9 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with a 1-9 record. Against the AL, Philadelphia’s offense has been struggling more than normal. Philadelphia has averaged 2.0 runs per game, less than their 3.1 season average. Playing AL opponents really brings the worst out of the Philadelphia pitchers. They allow 5.3 runs per game against teams in the AL, which is higher than their season average of 4.5.
So far this season, the Orioles are 1-0 against the Phillies. The Orioles will take on a right-hander (Williams) in this game and have a 23-25 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed Tillman will take the mound against the Phillies. Against righty starters this season, they have a terrible 18-34 record overall and 6-21 on the road.
Predictions: SU Winner – BAL, O/U – Under
Notes
Philadelphia has won 32% (10-21) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Baltimore has won 58% (15-11) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Orioles are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Phillies have a 3-17 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Phillies are 6-33. The Orioles have a 4-21 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 30th in home runs, Philadelphia has hit 36 this season. Baltimore ranks sixth with 71 home runs.
Ranking 14th, Philadelphia is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.02 per game. Baltimore ranks in the top 10 at eighth with 8.56.
Ranking 30th, Philadelphia is at the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.634). Baltimore ranks in the top 10 at ninth with an OPS of .722.
The Phillies are 7-29 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Orioles are 17-21 when they allow at least one homer.
