In the second of a two-game series between the Detroit Tigers (34-30) and the Cincinnati Reds (34-30) at Comerica Park, Kyle Ryan (1-0, 2.08 ERA) and Michael Lorenzen (1-2, 4.01 ERA) get the start. The Tigers won the last game 6-0 and Detroit leads the series 1-0. The game gets underway at 7:08 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Jun. 16 and will air on FSN-OH and FSN-DET.
In his most recent outing, Ryan pitched 3.0 innings, giving up zero runs (one unearned), striking out two and walking one in a 12-3 loss to the Cubs. Miguel Cabrera (.344, 37 Rs, 14 HRs, 47 RBIs, 1 SB) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run and two RBIs. The Reds were unsuccessful to the Cubs 6-3 the last time Lorenzen pitched. He went 4.1 innings, allowing five runs (one unearned), striking out six and walking three. Todd Frazier (.289, 44 Rs, 18 HRs, 39 RBIs, 8 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one stolen base.
Detroit, a -150 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Cincinnati. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is set at nine runs. The Tigers are 21-17 as the favorite and have an overall money line of +35. Over the last 10 games, they have a very good record when playing as the favorite (3-1). Detroit has averaged 3.5 runs per game during interleague play, lower than its season average of 4.2. They have been a terror on the base paths, ranking third in all of baseball with 51 steals. Whenever an National League opponent shows up on the calendar, the Tigers pitch better. They allow an average of 4.1 runs per game, but allow just 3.5 against teams from the NL.
On the other side, the Reds have a subpar record of 11-24 when they are the underdog and are -728 overall with the money line. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 5-5 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with a 1-5 record. When it comes to scoring runs, the Reds haven’t performed as well against teams from the AL. During those games, they averaged two runs per game, below their 4.1 season average. The Reds are known for their power, smashing 74 home runs. The Reds have racked up 66 steals on the year, making them the most threatening base-running team in the league. Cincinnati’s pitching staff tends to perform poorly when they play competition from the AL. They’ve allowed an average of 5.0 runs per game against teams from the AL, higher than their season average of 4.3.
So far this season, the Tigers are 1-0 against the Reds. The Tigers will take on a right-hander (Lorenzen) in this game and have a 23-24 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The left-handed Ryan will take the mound against the Reds, who have a 7-9 record against lefty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner – DET, O/U – Over
Notes
Cincinnati recorded at least two errors for the ninth time this season.
The Tigers are 3-2 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Reds are 2-5 in such matchups.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Reds are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Tigers have an 8-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they are outhit, the Tigers are 2-20. The Reds have a 6-25 record when opponents outhit them.
Detroit ranks near the bottom of the league at 23rd when it comes to home runs, hitting 51 this season. Cincinnati ranks in the top five at fifth with 74.
Ranking first in hits, Detroit has earned 9.40 per game this season. Cincinnati ranks 12th with 8.24 hits.
Ranking 15th, Cincinnati is in the top half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.711). Detroit ranks in the top five at third with an OPS of .752.
The Reds are 13-27 when they allow at least one home run. The Tigers perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 12-21 record.
