In the second of a two-game series between the San Francisco Giants (34-31) and the Seattle Mariners (34-31) at AT&T Park, Tim Lincecum (6-3, 3.33 ERA) and J.A. Happ (3-2, 3.72 ERA) take the mound. The Giants lost the last game 5-1, extending a five-game losing streak. The game starts at 3:45 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Jun. 16 and will air on ROOT-NW, CSN-BAY and MLB N.
In his last start, Lincecum pitched 4.2 innings, giving up two runs (one unearned), striking out five and walking three in a 5-4 loss to the Mets. Brandon Crawford (.286, 31 Rs, 9 HRs, 40 RBIs, 3 SBs) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run. In his career against the Giants, Happ is 0-3 with a 7.63 ERA. He meets a solid San Francisco offense that’s batting .269. Kyle Seager (.275, 25 Rs, 11 HRs, 36 RBIs, 1 SB) has been hitting the ball well, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
San Francisco is a -125 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is seven runs. The Giants are 16-19 as the favorite and have an overall money line of +53. They have a 4-1 SU record in games versus the AL, but have gone 3-0 as the favorite. San Francisco has averaged 4.8 runs per game during interleague play, higher than its season average of 4.0. They typically aren’t overmatched by pitchers, leading the NL with an average of only 6.7 strikeouts per game. Turning to the pitching staff, the Giants rank fifth in the AL in home ERA with a 3.04 team average. The Giants are fifth in the NL in hits allowed at home with just 8.3 per game.
Across the field, the Mariners have a record of 10-14 when they are the underdog and are -1,118 overall with the money line. Against NL opponents, they are 1-4 SU and have a poor 0-2 record when they were an underdog to win. The Mariners will be looking to pick it up in this one after recent offensive struggles. In their 10 most recent games, Seattle’s run production has dropped to 2.4 runs per game, compared to 4.0 for the duration of the season. Seattle’s pitching staff tends to perform poorly when they play competition from the NL. They’ve allowed an average of 5.0 runs per game against teams from the NL, higher than their season average of 4.1.
The only other game between the two teams went Seattle’s way. The Giants will take on a left-hander (Happ) in this game and have an 8-5 record against left-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Mariners will be the right-hander Lincecum. They sport a 23-28 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner – SF, O/U – Under
Notes
The Giants are 3-1 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Mariners are 4-5 in such matchups.
The Mariners are coming into this game after allowing zero walks during their last outing. The Giants have a 2-2 record when opponents give up that many walks.
When they outhit their opponents, the Mariners are 16-12. The Giants have a 29-5 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 28th in runs, Seattle has earned 221 this season. San Francisco ranks 16th with 259 runs.
San Francisco and Seattle both rank in the bottom half of the league in walks. San Francisco sits at 16th with 183 this season and Seattle ranks 19th with 177.
The Giants are 23-11 when they hit at least one home run. The Mariners perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 25-15 record.
