In the second of a two-game series between the Toronto Blue Jays (35-32) and the New York Mets (35-32) at the Rogers Centre, R.A. Dickey (2-6, 5.29 ERA) and Bartolo Colon (9-4, 4.41 ERA) take the mound. The Blue Jays won the last game 8-0 and Toronto leads the series 1-0. The game starts at 7:07 p.m. ET on Thursday, Jun. 18 and will air on SNY and RSN.
In his most recent outing, Dickey pitched 6.0 innings, allowing three runs (one unearned), striking out five and walking one in a 5-4 loss to the Red Sox. Josh Donaldson (.305, 54 Rs, 17 HRs, 45 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with two runs. In his pitching opportunities against the Blue Jays, Colon is 10-5 with a 4.02 ERA. He gets a strong Toronto offense that’s batting .269.
Toronto is a -151 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is nine runs. The Blue Jays have a winning record of 20-12 when playing as the favorite and an overall money line of +28. They have SU record of 8-2 and are unbeaten as the favorite (5-0) over their last 10 games. Toronto has averaged 7.2 runs per game over the last 10 games, higher than its season average of 5.5. The Blue Jays have the most prolific home offense in the entire AL, averaging 5.7 runs per game. The Blue Jays are a power hitting team with 83 home runs, one of the highest totals in the MLB. In games against National League opponents, Toronto’s pitchers are doing better against opposing batters. It only gives up an average of 3.5 runs per game, well under their season average of 4.4.
On the other side, the Mets have a subpar record of 6-21 when they are the underdog, but are +425 overall with the money line. Over the last 10 games, they were winless as the underdog with a 0-1 record and 6-4 SU. Playing competition from the AL really brings the best out of the New York pitchers. They allow 3.1 runs per game against teams in the AL, which is lower than their season average of 3.8. They have a WHIP of 1.20 on the year, good for fifth in the league.
In their previous three games this season, the Mets have a 2-1 record. This game will feature Colon (RHP) on the mound against the Blue Jays, who have a 24-28 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Mets will be the right-hander Dickey. They sport a 30-24 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner – TOR, O/U – Over
Notes
When leading after 7 innings, Toronto is 20-12, while New York is 16-13.
The Blue Jays are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Mets have an 8-12 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Blue Jays are 4-24. The Mets have a 10-25 record when opponents outhit them.
New York ranks in the bottom half of the league at 16th when it comes to home runs, hitting 58 this season. Toronto ranks in the top five at second with 83.
Ranking 13th, New York is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.06 per game. Toronto ranks in the top five at third with 9.05.
Toronto ranks at the top of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage of .781. New York ranks near the bottom at 24th with an OPS of .680.
When the Mets allow at least one home run, they are 15-23. When the Blue Jays allow one or more homers, they have a 22-23 record.
