In the last of a three-game series between the Los Angeles Dodgers (38-31) and the San Francisco Giants (38-31) at Dodger Stadium, Brett Anderson (2-4, 3.43 ERA) and Tim Lincecum (7-3, 3.31 ERA) get the start. The Giants won the last game 6-2 and San Francisco leads the series 2-0. The game starts at 8:08 p.m. ET on Sunday, Jun. 21 and will air on ESPN.
Anderson is 0-4 with a 5.67 ERA against the Giants in his career, and is up against a solid San Francisco offense that’s hitting .268 on the year. Justin Turner (.327, 24 Rs, 8 HRs, 29 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI. In his career against the Dodgers, Lincecum is 11-8 with a 3.31 ERA. He meets a strong Los Angeles offense that’s batting .256. Brandon Crawford (.282, 33 Rs, 9 HRs, 42 RBIs, 3 SBs) has been hitting the ball well, going 2 for 3 yesterday.
Los Angeles is a -151 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is seven runs. When playing as the favorite, the Dodgers have a 34-27 record and overall money line at -477. They have impressive records of 25-17 as the favorite and 26-18 SU within their division. Los Angeles has averaged 3.1 runs per game over the last 10 games, lower than its season average of 4.3. The Dodgers are a power hitting team with 87 home runs, one of the highest totals in the MLB. The Dodgers typically don’t swing at bad pitches, which has led to an NL-high 3.6 walks per game. Transitioning to the pitching staff, the Dodgers are third in the league in WHIP at 1.19.
On the other side, the Giants have a nice record of 21-12 when they are the underdog and are +199 overall with the money line. Against divisional rivals, they are 17-19 SU and 13-6 as the underdog. When it comes to scoring, the Giants haven’t performed as well against teams from the NL West. During those games, they averaged three runs per game, below their 4.1 runs per game season average.
The Giants have gotten the best of the Dodgers in head-to-head matchups this season, going 9-2. The Dodgers will take on a right-hander (Lincecum) in this game and have a 35-23 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Giants will be the left-hander Anderson. Southpaw starters haven’t been a big issue for them as they sport a 10-5 record.
Predictions: SU Winner – LAD, O/U – Over
Notes
San Francisco has won 55% (11-9) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Los Angeles has won 56% (15-12) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Dodgers are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Giants have a 15-14 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
It looks like the Giants have a slight leg up on the Dodgers, as the Giants have won their last three games while the Dodgers have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Dodgers are 27-7. The Giants have a 33-5 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 13th in runs, San Francisco has earned 287 this season. Los Angeles ranks 10th with 292 runs.
Ranking 16th, San Francisco is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 201 this season. Los Angeles ranks in the top five at second with 246.
When the Dodgers hit at least one home run, they are 31-19, well-matched with the Giants who are 26-11 when hitting one or more homers.
