Michael Pineda (8-3, 3.54 ERA) and Kevin Correia (0-1, 1.69 ERA) are on the hill in the first of a three-game series between the New York Yankees (38-31) and the Philadelphia Phillies (24-47) at Yankee Stadium. Action begins at 7:05 p.m. ET on Monday, Jun. 22 and can be seen on CSN-PHI and PIX11.
Pineda pitched 6.2 innings in his most recent start, surrendering one run, striking out nine and walking two in a 2-1 win over the Marlins. Alex Rodriguez (.282, 40 Rs, 14 HRs, 40 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday. Correia is 0-0 with a 1.35 ERA when pitching against the Yankees. He takes on a quality New York offense which is hitting .255 this season. Ben Revere (.282, 34 Rs, 17 RBIs, 17 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Phillies, going 3 for 4 yesterday with one run and one RBI.
This one isn’t expected to be close when New York, a big -278 favorite, takes on Philadelphia. According to the oddsmakers, the Over/Under (O/U) is currently seven runs. The Yankees have recorded an overall money line of +474 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 22-14. In interleague play, they have a 5-3 record when they were the favorite and 5-6 SU. The Yankees have no trouble scoring as they rank second in the AL in offense with 4.7 runs per game. The Yankees are one of the best in the AL in terms of hits with an impressive 8.8 per game. New York is one of the best in the AL in terms of walks, earning an average of 3.2 per game. As for the pitchers, the Yankees are the second-best team in the AL at limiting walks to their opponents, allowing only 2.5 walks per game so far this season.
As for their opponent, Philadelphia is coming in with an overall money line of -1,961 and a disappointing record of 20-42 as the underdog. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 1-9 record, and a 1-9 record SU. Offensively, the Phillies have really sputtered in the last 10 games. They have decreased their season average of 3.0 runs per game by averaging 1.9 during that stretch. The Phillies allow 4.9 runs per game, but have damaged those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 6.3 runs per game during that span.
The Yankees have a 29-23 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Correia takes the mound. Pineda (RHP) will be on the hill against the Phillies, who have inferior records against right-handed starting pitchers on the road and overall of 6-22 and 19-37, respectively.
Predictions: SU Winner – NYY, O/U – Under
Notes
The Phillies are 2-4 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Yankees are 1-4 in such matchups.
The Phillies are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Yankees have a 13-18 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Phillies are 15-7. The Yankees have a 26-3 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 30th in runs, Philadelphia has earned 220 this season. New York ranks second with 326 runs.
Ranking 26th, Philadelphia is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 159 this season. New York ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 221.
The Yankees are 32-18 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Phillies are 14-18 when they hit at least one homer.
