Dan Haren (6-4, 3.19 ERA) and Tyler Lyons (2-0, 5.09 ERA) start in the last of a three-game series between the Miami Marlins (30-43) and the St. Louis Cardinals (47-24) at Marlins Park. The Cardinals won the last game 6-1 and St. Louis leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Thursday, Jun. 25 and can be seen on FSN-MW and FSN-FL.
Haren is 4-2 with a 4.05 ERA in his appearances against the Cardinals, and goes up against a quality St. Louis offense which is batting .264 this season. Giancarlo Stanton (.268, 47 Rs, 27 HRs, 67 RBIs, 4 SBs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 3 for 4 with one run, one home run, and one RBI. Against the Marlins, Lyons is 0-1 with a 10.12 ERA, 2.06 WHIP, and six strikeouts. Matt Carpenter (.290, 43 Rs, 8 HRs, 34 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one RBI.
St. Louis takes on Miami as a -121 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at seven runs. The Marlins have recorded an overall money line of -1,355 and have shown a weak performance as an underdog this season with a record of 15-24. Miami has recorded a disappointing 2-5 record as the underdog over its last 10 games.
As for their opponent, St. Louis is coming in with an overall money line of +1,834 and an impressive record of 37-14 as the favorite. They played solid baseball as the favorite over their last 10 games with a 7-3 record, and a 7-3 record SU. St. Louis’s pitching staff has set the standard for its league, with an NL-low 2.72 ERA. When it comes to issuing walks, the Cardinals have the fifth-fewest in the NL with an average of just 2.7 walks allowed per game.
The Cardinals have the edge in the season series, 2-0. The Marlins have an 8-7 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Lyons takes the mound. Haren (RHP) will be on the hill against the Cardinals, who have a very good 39-15 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – STL, O/U – Over
Notes
The Marlins are 3-1 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Cardinals are 5-3 in such matchups.
The Cardinals are coming into this game after allowing zero walks during their last outing. The Marlins have a 2-10 record when opponents give up that many walks.
When they are outhit, the Marlins are 4-27. The Cardinals have an 11-16 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 21st in home runs, St. Louis has hit 60 this season. Miami ranks 19th with 61 home runs.
Miami and St. Louis both rank in the top five of the league in hits. Miami sits at fifth with 8.82 hits per game and St. Louis ranks fourth with 8.97.
Ranking 23rd, Miami is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.689). St. Louis ranks in the top 10 at ninth with an OPS of .731.
When the Cardinals allow at least one home run, they are 21-16. When the Marlins allow one or more homers, they have a 13-28 record.
